TrueBlue, Inc. (TBI)
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.84+2.61%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsStaffing & Employment ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TBI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -88.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 5.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 94.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TBI — CFO transition
Dated 2026-10-26
Director — Elizabeth Castro Gulacsy: The filing discloses the appointment of a new director to the board, which is a routine governance event and not the departure of an executive.
Why it matters: TrueBlue used $30.4 million of cash in operations in the first half. Cash was $23.3 million, with $82.4 million of debt at quarter end.
Worry ifThe next report shows operating cash use above $30.4 million for the first half, or cash below $23.3 million.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows positive operating cash flow and cash at or above $23.3 million.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue rose, but gross profit fell to $91.6 million from $93.6 million. More growth without higher gross profit could limit earnings gains.
Worry ifQ3 gross profit falls below $93.6 million, the Q2 year-ago level.
Less concerning ifQ3 gross profit tops $93.6 million.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue rose 12% year over year, but TrueBlue still posted a net loss. Q3 results test whether growth can bring more profit.
Watch forQ3 revenue grows year over year and adjusted EBITDA tops Q2's $11 million.
Also watch forQ3 revenue falls year over year or adjusted EBITDA drops below $11 million.
Why it matters: Management said digital tools could cut costs. But the results provided do not show a measured gain from them.
Supportive ifA company update names a digital tool and reports a measured gain in cost, speed, or client use.
Worry ifThe next report still gives no measured digital gain, or reports higher costs tied to the work.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$230 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $505 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,025 loss on $10,000 · 40.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: PeopleReady helped drive Q1 growth, and management cited a return to growth in its core on-demand business in Q2. A drop would weaken that signal.
Watch forPeopleReady Q3 revenue is above the same quarter last year.
Also watch forPeopleReady Q3 revenue is below the same quarter last year.