Transcontinental Realty Investors, Inc. (TCI)
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$37.69-2.79%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReal Estate - ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TCI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 1.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: Increased gains from asset sales can improve cash flow. Gains were $0.8 million in Q2 2026.
Supportive ifGains from real estate sales are over $1 million. This shows better capital use.
Worry ifGains are at or below $0.8 million. This shows weak performance in asset sales.
Why it matters: Higher net operating loss signals worsening financial health. It was $2.34 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet operating loss is over $2.5 million. This means costs are rising from leases.
Less concerning ifNet operating loss is under $2.5 million. This shows better cost control.
Why it matters: If revenue growth in the real estate sector speeds up, it could help TCI's performance. It shows the market is improving.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 4% year over year.
Worry ifSector revenue growth stays below 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong revenue growth shows good management and market demand. This is important for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year, indicating strong performance.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth is less than 2%, suggesting ongoing challenges.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$189 on $10,000 · ±1.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $614 loss on $10,000 · 6.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,381 loss on $10,000 · 43.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Managing net operating loss is crucial for financial health. It was $2.34 million in Q2 2026.
Supportive ifNet operating loss reported below $2 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet operating loss exceeds $2.34 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If the real estate sector gets better, TCI may gain from a stronger market.
Supportive ifSector performance shifts from headwind to neutral or better in the next quarter.
Worry ifSector performance remains a headwind or worsens.
Why it matters: More gains from real estate sales show good use of capital. This helps revenue grow.
Supportive ifGains from real estate sales exceed $0.8 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifGains from real estate sales remain at or below $0.8 million in Q3 2026.