Teradata (TDC)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
$34.61+2.94%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - InfrastructureSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TDC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -10.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers
TDC — director transition
Dated 2026-08-03
Director — Bernd Leukert: The board expanded and elected a new director as part of a Cooperation Agreement.
Why it matters: Teradata raised its adjusted free cash flow range to $330 million to $350 million. This measure excludes the SAP settlement effect.
Supportive ifFull-year adjusted free cash flow is at least $330 million.
Worry ifFull-year adjusted free cash flow is below $330 million.
Why it matters: Total ARR grew 1% in Q2. Meeting the full-year range would mark faster growth than that quarter's pace.
Supportive ifFull-year total ARR growth is at least 2% year over year.
Worry ifFull-year total ARR growth is below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Public cloud ARR grew 8% in Q2, while total ARR grew 1%. Faster cloud growth could support the shift to cloud.
Supportive ifThe next reported public cloud ARR growth is at least 8% year over year.
Worry ifThe next reported public cloud ARR growth is below 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Teradata guided to a Q3 revenue drop. A smaller drop would show demand held up better than the guide.
Watch forQ3 recurring revenue falls less than 2% year over year, above the -4% to -2% guide.
Also watch forQ3 recurring revenue falls more than 4% year over year, below the guide.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$133 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $379 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,516 loss on $10,000 · 35.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.