Reading TFSL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 5 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $16.92. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/B | 12M | $8.63 | 1.3 | 6.87 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $3.49 | 11.9 | 0.29 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $4.09 | 12.4 | 0.33 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $8.36 | 3.1 | 2.74 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $4.25 |
| 12.4 |
| 0.34 |
| Triangulated |
| high |
| Peer P/B | 3Y | $8.80 | 1.3 | 7.00 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $7.79 | 11.9 | 0.66 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $11.92 | 3.1 | 3.90 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/B | 5Y | $8.91 | 1.3 | 7.09 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $13.30 | 11.9 | 1.12 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $15.10 | 3.1 | 4.94 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | high |