Instil Bio Inc (TIL)
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-11-04
$6.99+4.80%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQHealth CareBiotechnologySnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TIL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
A comparable price-assumption read is not available for this company.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 66 industry peers
TIL — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-13
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On August 13, 2026 , Instil Bio, Inc. (the “Company”) provided a corporate update and announced its financial results for the quarter ended June 30, 2026 in the press release attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1, which is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including the attached Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for the purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as am…
Why it matters: A signed deal would show Instil is turning its search into a new pipeline asset. No deal has been named yet.
Supportive ifInstil announces a signed acquisition or in-license deal. It names the candidate and deal terms.
Worry ifInstil reports no signed deal in its next quarterly update. Or it says it stopped evaluating opportunities.
Why it matters: The report can show whether cash use stays near recent levels and whether Instil has a new asset deal. Both matter to its plan.
Watch forThe November 12 report shows cash of at least $67 million. Or it names a signed acquisition or in-license deal.
Also watch forThe report shows cash below $64 million and no signed acquisition or in-license deal.
Why it matters: Low costs help preserve cash while Instil seeks new assets. Costs above this level would exceed Q2 operating expenses.
Worry ifQ3 operating expenses top $6 million. That is more than the $5.6 million reported in Q2 2026.
Less concerning ifQ3 operating expenses are $6 million or less, near or below the Q2 2026 level.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$121 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $487 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,463 loss on $10,000 · 64.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.