Reading TILE? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
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NASDAQIndustrialsFurnishings, Fixtures & AppliancesSnapshot 2026-06-12
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
Recent financial performance is neutral, and earnings quality is also neutral. Management's recent track record has been steady, while risk is moderate and the sector backdrop is a headwind. Peer multiples imply a price about 31% above where it trades (it looks cheap on this basis); the read is cheap, quality intact. If TILE reverses and cuts guidance after recently raising, that could lead to a credibility hit. This read is provisional.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots are placed inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $31.87. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $32 TILE trades at 15× p/e, below its 23× p/e peer median. Our $45 fair value sits above the price; high confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
The price implies about 29% below a flat-multiple fair value, below our forecast of about 4%. This describes what's priced in, not a forecast of the move.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
Each factor is a parallel diagnostic with a clear read of what it shows and how names like it have historically fared. Never aggregated into a single score.
Operating income rose in 1 of the last 3 quarter-over-quarter moves. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 64% for the rest of the cohort, n=4882).
Over the trailing year it converted 1.34x of net income into operating cash flow. Historically, Industrials names rated neutral grew net income 57% of the time over the next year (vs 60% for the rest of the cohort, n=4440).
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Not enough signal to read sensitivity to the US dollar, real (inflation-adjusted) rates, long-term interest rates, Fed net liquidity.
The next print and the backdrop around it (sector regime and the AI cycle). Context for the path, not a forecast of returns.
EPS estimate $0.68 → $0.63 (-6.2% / 30d). 0 raised, 3 cut, 4 covering analysts.
0 upgrades, 0 downgrades / 30d. 100% of analysts rate Buy.
0 positive, 0 negative / 30d.
How management runs the business: capital, margins, balance sheet, and how reliably they guide and deliver.
A guidance track record builds as the company issues and delivers on guidance.
What a normal day, a bad day, and the worst of the last year would mean for a $10,000 position.
On a typical day, $10k can swing ±$151.
How much price usually moves either way.
On a bad day, this stock has moved -$329.
A rough but not unusual down day (about the 95th percentile).
In the worst 12 months, $10k could have lost $2,988.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
The most important moves since the prior daily snapshot.
No material changes since the prior snapshot.
as of 2026-06-12
Specific, dated things to watch for, each with what would confirm it and what would prove it wrong.
Why it matters: This report will provide key insights into revenue and profit trends. It is critical for assessing performance.
Confirms one read:The earnings report shows revenue growth is improving. It meets or exceeds expectations.
Confirms the other:The earnings report shows revenue growth is falling or not meeting expectations.
Recent news graded against this company's own objectives — whether it reinforces or challenges the thesis, and how confirmed it is.
No graded news catalysts for TILE yet.
Conditional scenarios: if X happens, the view would shift in this direction. These are not predictions.
Recent SEC 8-K filings ranked by likely impact, confidence, and recency.
Departure of Directors or Certain Officers; Election of Directors; Appointment of Certain Officers; Compensatory Arrangements of Certain Officers. Amendment of Executive Bonus Plan On June 2, 2026, the Compensation & Talent Development Committee of the Board of Directors of Interface, Inc. approved amendments to the Interface, Inc. Executive Bonus Plan (as amended, the “Amended Plan”). The Amended Plan, among other things, (i) updates the maximum annual bonus that may be paid to a participant…
Whether the overall read has been drifting up or down lately, and how it's changed since last week.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q1, 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1
A side-by-side read on sector standing, valuation, and risk versus Office Services & Supplies.
| Stock | Sector standing | Valuation | Risk |
|---|---|---|---|
TILE Interface, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 92 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
MSA MSA Safety | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 98 of 100 | fair | moderate |
WSC WillScot Holdings Corp. | Typical Show detailsSector percentile: 47 of 100 | full | elevated |
HNI HNI Corporation | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 86 of 100 | inexpensive | moderate |
PBI Pitney Bowes, Inc. | Above typical Show detailsSector percentile: 70 of 100 | inexpensive | elevated |
1 material management or governance event in the past 24 months, led by executive changes. Historically, Industrials names rated stable grew net income 60% of the time over the next year (vs 59% for the rest of the cohort, n=792).
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
via XLI
Tailwind = sector leading the S&P 500; headwind = trailing. Both can be constructive. Historically, headwind regimes have averaged stronger forward returns than tailwind.
Context label only: describes the market state (e.g. real bear vs narrative panic, healthy uptrend vs late-stage froth). It is not a per-ticker buy/sell signal and does not predict factor performance.
Not investment advice. As of 2026-06-12.
Priorities management has stated in recent disclosures, with status and evidence drawn from earnings calls, filings, and press releases.
Focus on broad-based growth across all product categories and key market segments.
Drive significant earnings expansion through disciplined execution and operational efficiencies.
Focus on improving gross profit margin through favorable pricing and product mix.
Why it matters: This guidance will show if growth momentum continues after a strong Q1.
Confirms:Q2 net sales reported within the range of $385 million to $395 million.
Disproves:Q2 net sales reported below $385 million.
Why it matters: This growth rate shows demand strength and supports revenue growth expectations.
Confirms:Orders growth is above 8% without currency effects.
Disproves:Orders growth is below 8% without currency effects.
Why it matters: Higher operating income means the company is managing costs well. This is important for profit.
Confirms:Operating income rises above $32.3M in Q2.
Disproves:Operating income stays below $32.3M in Q2. This shows problems with cost management.
Why it matters: A margin above this level shows good cost management and pricing power.
Confirms:Adjusted gross profit margin is above 39.9%.
Disproves:Adjusted gross profit margin is below 39.9%.
Why it matters: Higher expenses may show problems in managing costs as sales increase.
Confirms:SG&A expenses reported above $100 million in Q2.
Disproves:SG&A expenses reported below $100 million in Q2.
Why it matters: Growth in gross profit indicates better product mix and pricing strategies. This is important for overall health.
Confirms:Gross profit increases above $126.7M in Q2.
Disproves:Gross profit remains below $126.7M in Q2, suggesting pricing issues.
Why it matters: Improving revenue growth signals progress in the company's growth initiatives. This is crucial for future success.
Confirms:Q2 revenue growth exceeds 11.3% year over year, improving from Q1's growth rate.
Disproves:Q2 revenue growth is below 11.3% compared to last year. This shows ongoing struggles.
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 8, 2026, Interface, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release reporting its financial results for the first quarter of 2026 (the “Earnings Release”). A copy of the Earnings Release is included as Exhibit 99.1 hereto and hereby incorporated by reference. The information set forth in this Item 2.02, including the exhibit hereto, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, nor shall it be de…