Titan Machinery, Inc. (TITN)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$22.52-3.14%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TITN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -52.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 47.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 10 industry peers
TITN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-27
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 27, 2026, Titan Machinery Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the six months ended July 31, 2026. The Company will be conducting a conference call to discuss its second quarter of fiscal 2027 financial results at 7:30 a.m. Central time on August 27, 2026. The full text of the press release is set forth in Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto and is incorporated by reference in this Current Report on F…
Why it matters: Titan raised its construction outlook as data center and other building work grew in its area. More growth could help offset weak farm equipment sales.
Supportive ifFiscal 2027 Construction revenue grows more than 10% year over year, with same-store sales growth above 9.2%.
Worry ifConstruction revenue is flat or falls year over year, below the new 5% to 10% growth range.
Why it matters: Titan cut its Europe revenue outlook after demand weakened. A deeper drop could add to losses as German operations wind down.
Worry ifFiscal 2027 Europe revenue falls more than 40% year over year, excluding currency effects. Or it falls below the new outlook range.
Less concerning ifEurope revenue stays within the new 30% to 40% decline range, excluding currency effects.
Why it matters: Titan used cash in the first half while inventory and floorplan debt rose. Positive cash flow would ease pressure from working capital.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow is above zero for the six months ended October 31, 2026. Floorplan payables fall from $623.6 million.
Worry ifCash use from operations continues. Or floorplan payables rise above $623.6 million.
Why it matters: Margins rose as Titan sold less old equipment. A margin above 18% would show that this work is still paying off.
Supportive ifIn the November 24 report, gross margin is above 18% year over year. Titan says less aged inventory helped.
Worry ifGross margin drops below 17.1%. Or Titan says old inventory hurt equipment margins.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$172 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $488 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,103 loss on $10,000 · 31.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.