Titan Machinery, Inc. (TITN)
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$26.22+14.85%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TITN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -69.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -4.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 65.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TITN — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-27
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On August 27, 2026, Titan Machinery Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the six months ended July 31, 2026. The Company will be conducting a conference call to discuss its second quarter of fiscal 2027 financial results at 7:30 a.m. Central time on August 27, 2026. The full text of the press release is set forth in Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto and is incorporated by reference in this Current Report on F…
Why it matters: High margin pressure could hurt profits. This is a key focus for management.
Worry ifManagement says margins fell more than 5% because of old inventory.
Less concerning ifMargins are steady or better. This shows good inventory management.
Why it matters: Fixing margin pressure is key for profits. It affects overall financial health.
Worry ifGross margins improve by at least 2% in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifGross margins decline or remain flat in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Changes in the revenue outlook could signal shifts in demand and market conditions in Europe.
Watch forManagement raises the revenue outlook for the Europe segment from down 30%-40%.
Also watch forManagement cuts the revenue outlook for Europe. It is now down 40%.
Why it matters: A bigger loss shows worse financial health. It also means trouble managing costs.
Worry ifNet loss exceeds $9.2 million for the third quarter.
Less concerning ifNet loss is less than or equal to $9.2 million for the third quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$210 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $488 loss on $10,000 · 4.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,277 loss on $10,000 · 32.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A reduction in net income losses would show Titan Machinery is managing its costs better. This is key for future profitability.
Supportive ifNet income losses decrease to less than negative $10 million in the next quarter.
Worry ifNet income losses stay the same or increase beyond negative $12.6 million.
Why it matters: This will show if Titan Machinery can improve cash flow and manage losses. Investors will focus on any changes in margins and cash flow.
Watch forThe earnings report shows cash flow from operations is back in the positive.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows cash flow from operations is still negative.
Why it matters: Sector growth affects Titan's sales. A rebound could boost performance.
Supportive ifSector revenue growth exceeds 7% in the next quarter.
Worry ifSector growth is under 5%. This shows a slowdown continues.
Why it matters: Ongoing losses could signal deeper issues in the business model.
Worry ifNet income losses exceed $1 million in the next quarter.
Less concerning ifNet income is positive or losses drop a lot.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is working well and is financially healthy.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in Q2, reversing the $23.1 million decline.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative or worsens in Q2.
Why it matters: A rise in adjusted EBITDA means the company is getting more efficient. It also shows profit margins are recovering.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is over $4.6 million in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $4.6 million in Q3.
Why it matters: A larger decline would show worsening demand for agricultural equipment. This signals deeper issues in the market.
Worry ifAgriculture segment revenue falls more than 8.4% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifAgriculture segment revenue falls less than 8.4% compared to last year.
Why it matters: A big drop in revenue shows ongoing demand problems in agriculture.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported below $444.5 million, which is a 15% decline from last year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue is over $444.5 million. This shows demand is better than expected.
Why it matters: Having stable or lower inventory means better management. It also gives a chance for higher profits.
Supportive ifTotal inventories decrease from $914.8 million in Q1.
Worry ifTotal inventories increase beyond $914.8 million in Q2.
Why it matters: An increase past $12 million would show good management of losses.
Supportive ifNet loss for Q2 improves to better than $12 million.
Worry ifNet loss for Q2 remains worse than $12 million.