Reading TOL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TOL free→Reading TOL? Track it free: the weekly brief, plus an alert if the thesis breaks. No credit card.
Track TOL free→QuarterlyIQ Insights · TOL
Price, valuation, and the composite score on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 7 valuation methods, at three horizons. Current price $147.10. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
No-growth: today's peer multiple on trailing earnings. The headline read.
Embeds projected growth. Leans optimistic by design. Upside context.
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $126.57 | 10.7 | 13.64 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $203.50 | 16.0 | 12.69 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $208.57 | 15.8 | 13.22 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $89.10 | 0.9 | 96.86 | TTM | high |
| PEG | 12M |
Monthly trailing P/E with quartile reference lines.
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Long-thesis check; widest uncertainty.
| $103.99 |
| 7.9 |
| 13.22 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $128.87 | 9.7 | 13.22 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $218.00 | 15.8 | 13.82 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $195.49 | 16.0 | 12.19 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $241.23 | 15.8 | 15.29 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $130.78 | 0.9 | 142.17 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 3Y | $120.27 | 7.9 | 15.29 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 3Y | $149.05 | 9.7 | 15.29 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $190.33 | 16.0 | 11.87 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $265.80 | 15.8 | 16.85 | Analyst | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $168.91 | 0.9 | 183.62 | Analyst | medium |
| PEG | 5Y | $132.52 | 7.9 | 16.85 | Analyst | medium |
| Own P/E history | 5Y | $164.23 | 9.7 | 16.85 | Analyst | medium |