ReposiTrak, Inc. (TRAK)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$6.91-5.21%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRAK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -14.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 11.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 26.3 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 60 industry peers
TRAK — capital allocation — Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balan…
Dated 2026-07-08
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant. On July 1, 2026, the Company issued to Bartels an unsecured promissory note in the principal amount of $2,571,885 (the “ Note ”) in consideration for the issuance of the SPAR Shares. The Note bears interest at 6.0% per annum and matures on the fourth anniversary of its issuance. Principal is payable in annual cash installments of $725,000, together with all accrued and unpaid int…
Why it matters: Fiscal Q4 revenue fell 3%, after flat revenue in Q3. Growth would show demand is picking up.
Watch forAt the November 12 earnings report, revenue is above $5.6 million, the level from Q1 a year earlier.
Also watch forAt the November 12 earnings report, revenue is $5.6 million or less year over year.
Why it matters: The company has kept the dividend at $0.02 per share each quarter. A new declaration would confirm that pattern continues.
Supportive ifThe board declares a dividend of $0.02 per share for the next quarter.
Worry ifThe board declares less than $0.02 per share, or reports that the next quarterly dividend will not be paid.
Why it matters: Full-year diluted EPS rose to $0.39, but Q4 revenue fell. A year-over-year EPS gain would show earnings growth continued.
Supportive ifThe November 12 report shows Q1 diluted EPS above $0.09, the amount from the same quarter a year earlier.
Worry ifThe November 12 report shows Q1 diluted EPS at or below $0.09.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$139 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $449 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,493 loss on $10,000 · 54.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.