Tejon Ranch Co. (TRC)
NYSEIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$16.28-0.12%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsConglomeratesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 31.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 4 industry peers
TRC — earnings in line
Dated 2026-03-19
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On March 19, 2026, the Tejon Ranch Co. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its fourth quarter and full year 2025 operating and financial results (the “Press Release”). A copy of the Press Release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K. The information in this Current Report on Form 8-K (including the exhibit attached as Exhibit 99.1 hereto) is being furnished pursuant to
Why it matters: The new building adds about 510,500 square feet. On-time delivery can add space to the industrial portfolio.
Supportive ifThe company reports Building 1B is complete or ready for tenants by early 2027.
Worry ifThe company says delivery of Building 1B has slipped past early 2027.
Why it matters: Full leasing shows demand for the industrial space. A drop could point to weaker tenant demand.
Watch forThe next results report show all 2.8 million square feet of TRCC industrial space is leased.
Also watch forThe next results report TRCC industrial leasing below 100%.
Why it matters: First-half mineral revenue rose 30%, mainly from water sales. Continued growth without more water sales would show strength in other sources.
Supportive ifA later report shows mineral revenue above the year-earlier period. It says no major water sale drove the increase.
Worry ifA later report shows mineral revenue is below the year-earlier period. Or it says growth relied on another one-time water sale.
Why it matters: First-half farming revenue fell from $2.2 million a year earlier. Later results can show whether crop sales recover.
Watch forA later report shows farming revenue above the same period a year earlier.
Also watch forA later report shows farming revenue below the same period a year earlier.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$91 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $194 loss on $10,000 · 1.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,251 loss on $10,000 · 22.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The last quarter's profit rise included a $6.9 million land sale and lower costs. The next report can show how much came from ongoing work.
Watch forThe November 5 report shows corporate costs below last year's level. Results are stronger without a large land sale.
Also watch forThe November 5 report shows costs near last year's levels, or weaker results that depend on another large land sale.