Trimble Inc. (TRMB)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$59.47-1.05%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRMB
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -21.4% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 40 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TRMB — director transition
Dated 2026-05-26
Director — Mark S. Peek: Mr. Peek resigned from his role as a director and stepped down from committee roles.
Why it matters: More repurchases show trust in the company's money situation and plans.
Supportive ifThey announced buying back over $317 million in shares.
Worry ifThere are no share buybacks or a drop in buyback activity.
Why it matters: If revenue growth falls below median, it signals a potential slowdown in the sector.
Worry ifTrimble's revenue growth drops below the sector median growth rate.
Less concerning ifTrimble's revenue growth remains above the sector median growth rate.
Why it matters: If they meet or exceed this guidance, it shows strong demand and good execution.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at $978 million or higher.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $953 million.
Why it matters: Ongoing ARR growth shows success in the Connect & Scale strategy and keeps customers.
Supportive ifARR growth reported at 12% or higher year-over-year.
Worry ifARR growth is below 10% year-over-year.
Why it matters: Going over this amount shows good capital use and faith in the company's future.
Supportive ifThe company bought back over $1 billion in shares.
Worry ifThe company bought back less than $800 million in shares.
Why it matters: More buybacks can show that management is confident. This can help the share price.
Supportive ifTrimble announces buybacks of $200 million or more in the next quarter.
Worry ifNo significant buybacks occur in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Completing this project will help Trimble focus on precision farming. It will also help their finances.
Supportive ifJoint venture is finalized and running on time.
Worry ifDelays or failure to finalize the joint venture.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$137 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $360 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,149 loss on $10,000 · 41.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.