Transcat, Inc. (TRNS)
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$85.48-0.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TRNS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 9.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 13.6 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TRNS — earnings in line
Dated 2026-05-26
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 26, 2026, Transcat, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for its fiscal fourth quarter and year ended March 28, 2026. The press release is attached to this Form 8-K as Exhibit 99.1. In addition, on May 26, 2026, the Company posted slides to the Investor Relations section of its website that will accompany the Company’s earnings conference call and webcast at 4:30 p.m. Eastern Time today. The slides a…
Why it matters: If this margin drops, costs may rise. This could hurt profits. Keeping margins high is key for investor trust.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was below 14% in Q1 2027.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin was at or above 14% in Q1 2027.
Why it matters: New acquisitions may help growth. They can also increase market share in calibration services.
Supportive ifA new acquisition was announced. It will expand service capabilities and reach.
Worry ifThere were no new acquisition announcements. There were also no delays in planned M&A.
Why it matters: A drop in net income may raise concerns. This could affect profit and efficiency.
Worry ifNet income for Q1 fiscal 2027 reported below the previous year's figure.
Less concerning ifNet income for Q1 fiscal 2027 reported at or above the previous year's figure.
Why it matters: M&A can drive growth and expand market reach. Successful deals can enhance revenue.
Supportive ifA completed acquisition fits the growth plan.
Worry ifNo M&A news or failed talks.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$200 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $431 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,469 loss on $10,000 · 34.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Further acquisitions could strengthen Transcat's market position and growth strategy. Lack of new deals may signal slower growth.
Supportive ifLook for news about another acquisition within six months of the SCM deal.
Worry ifNo new M&A announcements within six months of the SCM acquisition.
Why it matters: The CEO change affects the company. Good leadership can help investor trust.
Watch forManagement shares a clear plan for the CEO change with set timelines.
Also watch forNo updates or unclear messages about the CEO change.
Why it matters: This is a key measure of the company's growth strategy. A drop would raise concerns about demand and execution.
Worry ifService organic revenue growth was below 7% for Q2 fiscal 2027.
Less concerning ifService organic revenue growth reported at or above 7% for Q2 fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: A drop in gross margin may mean higher costs or pricing issues, affecting profits.
Worry ifService gross margin reported below 33.9% for Q2 fiscal 2027.
Less concerning ifService gross margin reported at or above 33.9% for Q2 fiscal 2027.
Why it matters: This growth rate reflects demand for rentals and product sales. A slowdown could indicate market weakness.
Worry ifDistribution revenue growth was below 11.4% for Q2 fiscal 2027.
Less concerning ifDistribution revenue growth reported at or above 11.4% for Q2 fiscal 2027.