Toro (TTC)
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$93.33+1.04%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsManufacturing - Tools & AccessoriesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TTC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 4.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 31.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 7 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TTC — CEO transition
Dated 2026-07-22
President and Chief Executive Officer — Edric C. Funk: Richard M. Olson is transitioning to the role of Executive Chairman, and Edric C. Funk has been elected as President and Chief Executive Officer.
Why it matters: A further increase in sales guidance would show strong demand and growth momentum.
Supportive ifManagement raises full-year net sales growth to over 6.6%.
Worry ifGuidance remains at or below 6.3%.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows the company is healthier and helps growth plans.
Supportive ifCash from operating activities is higher than in past quarters.
Worry ifCash from operating activities goes down or stays the same.
Why it matters: Ongoing margin growth shows good cost management and strong operations.
Supportive ifGross margin improves above 34.1%.
Worry ifGross margin declines below 34.1%.
Why it matters: Growth in this area is important for the company's success and profits.
Watch forResidential segment sales grow year over year by more than 4.4%.
Also watch forResidential segment sales decline year over year or grow less than 4.4%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$91 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $220 loss on $10,000 · 2.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,631 loss on $10,000 · 16.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: A drop in cash from operations could signal operational issues or rising costs. This would raise concerns about cash flow.
Worry ifCash from operations drops below $267 million.
Less concerning ifCash from operations stays above $267 million.
Why it matters: Steady sales growth shows strong demand and good management strategies.
Supportive ifQ3 net sales grew more than 4.0% compared to last year.
Worry ifQ3 net sales grew less than 4.0% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Closing the acquisition would expand Toro's product portfolio and market reach. This could enhance growth in the underground construction segment.
Supportive ifTornado Infrastructure Equipment is now part of the company. The deal is complete.
Worry ifThe deal fails to close because of regulatory or other problems.
Why it matters: Strong growth in the Professional segment shows ongoing demand and good execution.
Supportive ifProfessional segment net sales grow year over year by more than 9%.
Worry ifProfessional segment sales growth is below 9% year over year.
Why it matters: Strong cash flow shows good efficiency and financial health.
Supportive ifCash from operations stays above $267 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow drops below $267 million. This suggests operational problems.
Why it matters: Good integration can improve product offerings and sales. This helps Toro's market position.
Supportive ifManagement says sales in the Professional segment are up. This is due to the Tornado acquisition.
Worry ifSales in the Professional segment drop or do not grow due to the Tornado acquisition.