Tetra Tech (TTEK)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-05
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TTEK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 36.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 40.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 16 industry peers
TTEK — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-29
Other Events. On July 29, 2026, Tetra Tech announced that its Board of Directors has declared a $0.072 per share quarterly cash dividend. The dividend is payable on August 27, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on August 13, 2026.
Why it matters: Management said U.S. federal work helped drive growth. The company also named new Army Corps, EPA, and FAA wins.
Watch forIn its next results, Tetra Tech reports U.S. federal net revenue growth and names new federal contract wins.
Also watch forIn its next results, U.S. federal net revenue declines, or management reports federal funding delays or lost orders.
Why it matters: Management linked water and environmental work to data center growth. It also cited new data center orders in Q3.
Supportive ifA future company release names another data center contract or task order. It states the value or added work.
Worry ifManagement reports no more data center orders. It says related work has slowed or been delayed.
Why it matters: Backlog rose 5% in Q3, and new orders helped lift full-year guidance. A drop could weaken the sales outlook.
Watch forBacklog tops $4.49 billion in the next reported quarter. New orders support the rise.
Also watch forBacklog falls below $4.49 billion in the next reported quarter. Or management reports delayed or canceled orders.
Why it matters: The report will show whether the raised full-year targets held. It will also test recent backlog growth.
Watch forQ4 net revenue is at least $1.12 billion and EPS is at least $0.45. FY26 net revenue is at least $4.315 billion and adjusted EPS is at least $1.56.
Also watch forQ4 net revenue is below $1.12 billion or EPS is below $0.45. FY26 net revenue or adjusted EPS falls below its guided range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$95 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $324 loss on $10,000 · 3.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,845 loss on $10,000 · 38.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.