Expectations trend
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
TETRA Technologies, Inc. (TTI)
NYSEIndustrialsOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$6.18+3.87%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
The long-term thesis, the evidence coming in, and the environment around it. Thesis dated Jul 8, 2026.
Next-FY EPS estimate change · 30 days
0.33 → 0.32 EPS · FY ending Dec 31, 2027 · 2 analysts
One observable signal. This measures changing earnings expectations, not the probability of a gain or loss.
Change in the same fiscal period’s mean EPS estimate from Oct 5, 2026 to Nov 4, 2026: (new ÷ prior − 1). Contributor count changed from 2 to 2; this is not the number of analysts revising. The ±10% axis is a display range.
The EPS and P/E reference is not available for TTI yet.
| Measure / period | Management expectations | Analyst expectations |
|---|
Management figures unavailable.
Current consensus figures unavailable.
Three published thesis conditions, with dated milestones shown separately.
| Key Factor | Why It Matters | Current Status | Break Condition | Latest Evidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|
Equity raise does not dilute growth or earnings | A supporting condition in TETRA Technologies, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is no material EPS dilution from equity raise. | Intact | EPS falls below consensus due to dilution within next year | Qualitative condition This condition has no defined numerical measure. Nov 4, 2026Last status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Compare these dated observations with the operating requirements above
FY2027 · fiscal year ending 2027-12-31 · fmp
The evidence, the remaining questions, and what comes next
No recovery evidence is reported in the available driver assessments.
Next earnings date unavailable
Look for updated results and guidance against the published targets, plus direct evidence for unresolved drivers.
Observed price history; separate from operating scenarios
The weekly editorial context below is a separate assessment from the dated monitor evidence above. Recovery observations do not automatically change the published thesis. Unverified outside influences are hypotheses, not measured driver evidence.
TTI is a growth-oriented industrial business, with recent financial performance in the top half of its industry. Its long-term thesis is intact, but earnings quality is fragile, risks are elevated, and confidence has eased from high to medium.
TTI trades at a premium to peers, while the valuation assessment is neutral and the premium is described as durable. The priced-in assessment is justified, with low fragility, but the model has low confidence and the expectations gap is negative.
Near-term results have been strong, and deepwater and international revenue growth is on track. The Arkansas bromine project is progressing toward its planned completion, while electrolyte and energy storage expansion remains a watch item because specific revenue figures are not disclosed. Near-term risk includes a possible guidance cut, and the broader sector backdrop is a headwind despite a low stated miss risk.
The multi-year view depends in part on continued deepwater and international growth, and on completing the Arkansas project on schedule. Near term, a guidance cut would be a meaningful negative; continued earnings strength and higher guidance from industrial peers could support the sector backdrop. Misses or lower guidance from those peers could weaken that support.
Over the next 1 to 3 years, TTI’s growth priorities and recent performance support an intact long-term thesis, but fragile earnings quality, elevated risk, and a peer valuation premium leave execution and sector conditions important. Not investment advice.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| A primary condition in TETRA Technologies, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is operating income >= $19 million. |
| Broken |
| operating income remains below $15 million next year |
Operating income: $9.729M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: operating income >= $19 million. Target period is not explicitly aligned with this observation. Nov 2, 20269,729,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Revenue grows to at least $625M in FY25 | A primary condition in TETRA Technologies, Inc.'s published investment case. The stated target is >= $625 million. | Intact | revenue falls below $620 million in FY25 | Revenue: $167.951M FY2026-Q3; GAAP. Published target: >= $625 million. Annual target cannot be compared with a quarterly or TTM observation. Nov 2, 2026167,951,000 USD · source valueLast status assessment Nov 4, 2026Compare required operating outcomesCompare scope, accounting basis and period before treating this evidence as progress against an annual requirement. |
Stored thesis · Jul 8, 2026. Latest Evidence uses source-matched measurements where available, alongside the last thesis-monitor assessment. Source periods and assessment dates are shown separately. A new measurement does not automatically change the published status or verify an older target.
$0.38 → $0.32 · observed estimates
$0.73B → $0.72B · observed estimates
One fiscal period and provider throughout. At least five contributors are required for each plotted metric; missing coverage stays a gap. Axes show the observed range. Counts measure coverage, not revisions.
| Snapshot | EPS | Revenue | EPS / revenue analysts |
|---|---|---|---|
| 2026-07-24 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-25 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-26 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-27 | $0.40 | $720,640,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-28 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-29 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-30 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-07-31 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-01 | $0.40 | $720,640,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-02 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-03 | $0.40 | $720,640,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-04 | $0.40 | $720,640,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-05 | $0.38 | $732,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-06 | $0.40 | $720,640,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-08 | $0.37 | $735,233,330 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-09 | $0.37 | $735,233,330 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-10 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-12 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-13 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-14 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-15 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-16 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-17 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-18 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-19 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-20 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-21 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-22 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-23 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-24 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-25 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-26 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-27 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-28 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-29 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-30 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-08-31 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-01 | $0.39 | $726,400,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-02 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-03 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-04 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-05 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-06 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-07 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-08 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-09 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-10 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-11 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-12 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-13 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-14 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-15 | $0.34 | $715,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-16 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-17 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-18 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-19 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-20 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-21 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-22 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-23 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-24 | $0.34 | $712,080,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-25 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-26 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-27 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-28 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-29 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-09-30 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-01 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-02 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-03 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-04 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-05 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-06 | $0.33 | $709,960,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-07 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-08 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-09 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-10 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-11 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-12 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-13 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-14 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-15 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-16 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-17 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-18 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-19 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-20 | $0.31 | $704,820,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-21 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-22 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-23 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-24 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-25 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-26 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-27 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-28 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-29 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-30 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-10-31 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-01 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-02 | $0.31 | $704,800,000 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-03 | $0.31 | $704,792,080 | 2 / 3 |
| 2026-11-04 | $0.32 | $718,620,000 | 2 / 3 |
Revenue and EPS estimates track expectations. They are not delivered results or like-for-like proof of a required annual path.
Latest: 4 Buy / Strong Buy · 0 Hold · 0 Sell / Strong Sell
Recent actions · Oct 6–Nov 4 · 1 recorded
Individual price-target observations are unavailable.
0 raises · 0 cuts · 0 unchanged · 0 without a comparable prior
Oct 6, 2026–Nov 4, 2026. Each firm's latest positive target is paired only with its immediately prior positive target from the same provider, at most 180 days earlier. Unmatched observations have one dot; conflicting observations are not compared.
3 of 3 published conditions remain under pressure or need verification. The next results need to address those conditions.
The dated weekly assessment and its assumptions are available in Read detailed Outlook.