TETRA Technologies, Inc. (TTI)
NYSEIndustrialsOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$6.18+3.87%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TTI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -15.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 8.1% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 23.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TTI — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-02
and in Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended, or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall such information be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: TETRA amended its term loan agreement on October 2. The full terms can show whether debt costs or limits changed.
Worry ifThe filed amendment shows lower borrowing costs or looser loan limits. It reports no new debt burden.
Less concerning ifThe amendment adds higher borrowing costs, stricter loan limits, or a new payment burden.
Why it matters: TETRA has a 100,000-barrel-per-day design, but permits and customer checks are still in progress. A signed deal would mark a step toward sales.
Supportive ifTETRA announces a signed customer contract or final plant approval. The plant handles 100,000 barrels per day.
Worry ifTETRA reports no signed large project. It says permits or customer checks have delayed the plan.
Why it matters: Steady operation can support customer confidence in the desalination process. A drop in uptime would weaken the case for larger plants.
Watch forTETRA reports Oasis uptime at or above 96% and says the pilot meets its performance targets.
Also watch forTETRA reports uptime below 96% or says the pilot missed its performance targets.
Why it matters: This is a named, high-pressure job for TETRA's new fluid. Its start would test demand for the product and add work in 2026.
Supportive ifTETRA confirms work has started on the Beacon three-well, 20,000 psi project in 2026.
Worry ifTETRA reports the project has been delayed beyond 2026 or canceled.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$171 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $601 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,820 loss on $10,000 · 58.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The project supports future fluid and electrolyte growth. TETRA targets completion by late 2027 and first production in early 2028.
Worry ifA company update keeps completion set for Q4 2027 and first production for early 2028. Construction milestones are met.
Less concerning ifTETRA reports a delay past Q4 2027, a cost overrun, or a funding gap for planned construction.