Tradeweb Markets Inc (TW)
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$106.20+0.82%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsFinancial - Capital MarketsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TW
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 19.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 5.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 27 industry peers
TW — capital allocation — Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders
Dated 2026-05-20
Material Modification to Rights of Security Holders. The information set forth under
Why it matters: Finishing this program shows strong capital use and trust in the business.
Supportive ifTotal share repurchases reach or exceed $500 million by year-end 2026.
Worry ifShare repurchases are far below $500 million. This shows weaker capital use.
Why it matters: Consistent dividend growth reflects strong financial health. It can attract more investors.
Supportive ifDividend per share increases year over year by more than 10%.
Worry ifDividend per share remains flat or decreases year over year.
Why it matters: A drop in revenue growth would signal a slowdown in the financial sector. This could impact Tradeweb's performance.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth reported below 15% year over year.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue growth stays at or above 15% year over year.
Why it matters: If the dividend goes up, it shows the company cares about giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThere is an announcement of a quarterly dividend over $0.14 per share.
Worry ifDividend remains at $0.14 per share or decreases.
Why it matters: A drop below median growth could signal a slowdown in the financial sector. This affects Tradeweb's growth outlook.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median of 15%.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above its median of 15%.
Why it matters: Consistent dividend growth shows financial health. It also shows a commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifQuarterly dividend remains at or increases from $0.14 per share.
Worry ifThe dividend is cut or stays at $0.14 per share. This shows possible financial strain.
Why it matters: If it drops below this level, trading volumes may weaken. This could hurt revenue growth.
Worry ifAverage daily volume (ADV) for Q3 prints below $3 trillion.
Less concerning ifADV for Q3 remains above $3 trillion.
Why it matters: Stable revenue means no growth. This can affect future investments and plans.
Worry ifLSEG Market Data revenue for 2026 remains at $105 million.
Less concerning ifLSEG Market Data revenue exceeds $105 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$124 on $10,000 · ±1.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $315 loss on $10,000 · 3.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,761 loss on $10,000 · 27.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.