TAOWEAVE INC (TWAV)
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
$1.27-5.22%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsAsset ManagementSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TWAV
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -49.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -5.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 43.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
Why it matters: Q1 net income came mainly from a paper gain on TAO. A fall in TAO's value could reverse that gain and deepen reported losses.
Worry ifA quarterly report shows an unrealized loss on TAO and net income below zero.
Less concerning ifA quarterly report shows no unrealized TAO loss and net income above zero.
Why it matters: Avia has put Manako's camera tools to work at 124 fuel stations. More sites or paid renewals would show the service can grow beyond its first launch.
Supportive ifManako or TaoWeave reports Avia adding sites beyond the first 124, or confirms a paid renewal.
Worry ifA company update says the rollout stopped, sites were removed, or Avia did not renew.
Why it matters: Q2 revenue fell from Q1, and the operating loss widened. A return to growth would ease concern about the legacy business while Manako scales.
Supportive ifThe next quarterly report shows revenue above Q2's $522,000 and a smaller operating loss than Q2's $841,000.
Worry ifThe next quarterly report shows revenue at or below $522,000 or an operating loss above $841,000.
Why it matters: One customer made up 58% of Q1 revenue. Losing that customer could sharply cut sales, even as other business lines grow.
Worry ifA quarterly report says the largest Managed Services customer left or cut service. Revenue falls below $522,000.
Less concerning ifManaged Services revenue rises from Q2. The largest customer's share of total revenue falls below 58%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$290 on $10,000 · ±2.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,066 loss on $10,000 · 10.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,545 loss on $10,000 · 75.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.