Titan International, Inc. (TWI)
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
$4.70-3.49%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsAgricultural - MachinerySnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TWI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -75.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -1.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 6 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TWI — COO transition
Dated 2026-09-25
COO — Max Narancich: The resignation of a segment Chief Operating Officer is a genuine executive departure, but the lack of a named successor and the transfer of duties to existing management suggests an orderly transition rather than a crisis.
Why it matters: Titan says the sale will let it focus on wheels and tires and cut debt. The deal remains pending.
Watch forTitan files or announces that the ITM sale to USCO closed in January 2027. Titan received the proceeds.
Also watch forThe January 2027 close slips, or Titan reports that the sale was terminated or blocked.
Why it matters: Titan plans to use sale proceeds to reduce debt, but net debt rose from year-end 2025. A lower figure would show progress.
Supportive ifAfter the sale closes, reported net debt falls below $393.4 million, Titan's Q3 2026 level.
Worry ifAfter the sale closes, reported net debt stays at or above $393.4 million, with no stated debt reduction.
Why it matters: Ag sales fell 12% in Q3 as farm costs and weak demand weighed on buyers. A smaller drop would show less strain.
Watch forA later quarter's Ag sales decline is less than 12% year over year, or sales grow.
Also watch forAg sales decline by 12% or more year over year for another quarter.
Why it matters: Q3 gross margin fell to 14.7% as lower volume and higher input costs hurt results. A rise would show better cost cover.
Supportive ifGross margin from continuing operations tops 14.7% in a later quarter.
Worry ifGross margin from continuing operations is 14.7% or less in the next reported quarter.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$206 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $480 loss on $10,000 · 4.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,921 loss on $10,000 · 59.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: EMC sales grew 5% in Q3, helped by Europe awards and market share gains. Continued growth would support Titan's core wheel business.
Supportive ifEMC sales grow year over year in the next reported quarter, with Europe volume still contributing.
Worry ifEMC sales fall year over year, or Titan reports lower Europe volume tied to lost awards or share.