Two Harbors Investment Corp. (TWO)
NYSEFinancialsReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-05
$12.18+1.08%
Close 2026-08-24 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsReit - MortgageSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TWO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -79.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 81.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 26 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TWO — M&A activity
Dated 2026-08-25
by reference. As a result of the CCM Merger, a change of control of TWO occurred and TWO became a wholly owned subsidiary of CCM. At the Effective Time, each share of TWO Common Stock issued and outstanding immediately prior to the Effective Time (other than shares held by CCM or Merger Sub or by any wholly owned subsidiary of CCM, Merger Sub or TWO) was automatically canceled and converted into the right to receive the Merger Consideration. The source of the funds for the Merger Consideratio…
Why it matters: The CCM merger set the cash payment for common shares. The final payment and any stub dividend confirm the stated terms.
Supportive ifA closing filing confirms that common shares converted to $12.00 cash each, plus the stated stub dividend.
Worry ifA filing shows the merger ended, or common holders got less than $12.00 per share before any stub dividend.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$17 on $10,000 · ±0.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $264 loss on $10,000 · 2.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,681 loss on $10,000 · 36.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.