Travelzoo (TZOO)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
$5.34+6.16%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · TZOO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 12.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 52.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 11 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
TZOO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-27
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 27, 2026, Travelzoo (the "Company") reported its third quarter 2026 financial results. A copy of the Company’s press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1. The information furnished pursuant to Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”) or otherwise subject to the liabilities under that Section and shall not be de…
Why it matters: Travelzoo expects Q4 revenue growth after mixed results this year. A positive result would support its member growth plan.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 revenue is higher than Q4 2025 revenue.
Worry ifQ4 2026 revenue is flat or lower than Q4 2025 revenue.
Why it matters: Europe's loss rate rose from 14% in Q2 to 18% in Q3. A smaller loss rate would show better results.
Supportive ifEurope's operating loss is less than 18% of revenue in a future quarter.
Worry ifEurope's operating loss stays at or above 18% of revenue.
Why it matters: Jack's Flight Club revenue fell 15% year over year in Q3. A return to growth would reverse that decline.
Supportive ifJack's Flight Club revenue is higher year over year in a future quarter.
Worry ifJack's Flight Club revenue falls 15% or more year over year again.
Why it matters: Club Members rose 65% year over year in Q3. More members can add recurring fee revenue over time.
Supportive ifThe next report shows Club Members still up year over year, at 65% or more.
Worry ifThe next report shows Club Member growth below 65% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$160 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $452 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,945 loss on $10,000 · 59.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.