Unity Software Inc (U)
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
$41.66-1.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologySoftware - ApplicationSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · U
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 69.1% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 24.2% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 44.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 119 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
U — Principal Accounting Officer transition
Dated 2026-07-27
Chief Accounting Officer — Michael Lieb: Michael Lieb was promoted to Chief Accounting Officer.
Why it matters: This shows how Unity controls costs while increasing revenue. Strong EBITDA growth means more profit.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is over $185 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $185 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: If revenue growth slows, it may hurt Unity's performance. This could signal a broader trend in the tech sector.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below the median for the last quarter.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains above the median for the last quarter.
Why it matters: This growth rate indicates if Unity's Create Solutions are gaining traction. It reflects ongoing product success.
Supportive ifStrategic create revenue growth exceeds 7% year-over-year in Q3 2026.
Worry ifStrategic create revenue growth falls below 7% year-over-year in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: This shows how Unity makes cash. Strong cash flow helps with operations and growth.
Supportive ifNet cash from operations exceeds $200 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifNet cash from operations falls below $200 million in Q3 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$177 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $645 loss on $10,000 · 6.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,537 loss on $10,000 · 65.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This shows the effect of selling the Supersonic business. Low revenue means a big change for Unity.
Worry ifIn Q3 2026, non-strategic revenue will be less than $20 million.
Less concerning ifNon-strategic revenue is over $20 million in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: This range shows if Unity can keep growing its key revenue streams. A strong performance supports growth confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 2026 strategic revenue reported within the range of $540M to $550M.
Worry ifStrategic revenue falls below $540M in Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Strong free cash flow shows Unity can generate cash. It helps management with capital plans.
Supportive ifFree cash flow exceeds $200 million in Q3 2026.
Worry ifFree cash flow falls below $200 million in Q3 2026.