Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC)
AMEXEnergyUraniumSnapshot 2026-09-04
$11.54+0.26%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
AMEXEnergyUraniumSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UEC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -27.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 1 industry peers
UEC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-06-09
of this Current Report on Form 8-K, including the information set forth in Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the U.S. Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the U.S. Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, except as expressly set forth by spec…
Why it matters: Higher production rates would show UEC is successfully ramping up output. This is key for growth.
Supportive ifProduction rates increase by at least 20% compared to Q3 2026.
Worry ifProduction rates fail to increase or decline in Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Starting new header houses can help the supply chain. It can also increase production.
Supportive ifNew header houses are working and helping production in the next quarter.
Worry ifNew header houses do not start working by the next quarter.
Why it matters: Getting new header houses running is key for UEC's production goals. Delays can slow growth.
Supportive ifAll new header houses at Christensen Ranch and Burke Hollow are now running and helping production.
Worry ifNew header houses are not running or have regulatory delays.
Why it matters: Missing earnings could hurt investor trust and future results.
Worry ifSubsequent earnings report shows a deeper earnings miss than expected.
Less concerning ifThe next earnings report shows a recovery or does better than expected.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$271 on $10,000 · ±2.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $806 loss on $10,000 · 8.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,511 loss on $10,000 · 55.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Better refining will help UEC in the nuclear supply chain.
Supportive ifThe engineering work and site choice for the uranium facility will finish by Q4 2026.
Worry ifThere will be no big updates on the refining facility by Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Advancing these capabilities would strengthen UEC's position in the nuclear fuel supply chain. It is a key growth area.
Supportive ifKey licensing steps are done for the uranium conversion facility. This shows progress.
Worry ifNo new steps or delays in the licensing process for the conversion facility.
Why it matters: Higher production rates will show UEC's ability to grow and meet demand. This is key for future earnings.
Supportive ifProduction rates go up a lot with new header houses at Christensen Ranch and Burke Hollow.
Worry ifProduction rates stay the same or go down. This shows problems or delays.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show how the company is doing financially and in production.
Watch forEarnings report shows better financial numbers and production growth from past quarters.
Also watch forEarnings report shows more losses or production problems, like the last quarter.
Why it matters: The earnings report will show UEC's financial health and how well it operates.
Watch forThe earnings report shows better financial results than before.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows ongoing losses or worse financial results.
Why it matters: Approval will help UEC make more products. This is key for growth.
Supportive ifRegulators will approve at least two more header houses by the end of Q4 2026.
Worry ifNo new regulatory approvals for header houses by end of Q4 2026.
Why it matters: Improved revenue growth could signal a shift from the current headwind in the sector.
Watch forRevenue growth picks up to above 3% year over year.
Also watch forRevenue growth remains below 2% year over year.