Uranium Energy Corp. (UEC)
AMEXEnergyUraniumSnapshot 2026-11-04
$7.19-4.89%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
AMEXEnergyUraniumSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UEC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -17.6% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 72.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 90.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 0 industry peers
UEC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-09-29
of this Current Report, including the information in Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing or other document under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), or the Exchange Act, regardless of any general incorpora…
Why it matters: The NNSA cited a need for 4 million pounds of U.S.-origin uranium each year, starting as early as 2030. A contract would turn that need into demand for UEC.
Supportive ifThe NNSA or Army names UEC in a contract or award for uranium or conversion services from the U.S.
Worry ifA published award names other suppliers, with no award or contract for UEC.
Why it matters: Ludeman is UEC's next planned U.S. mine. Completed wells, plant work, and required approvals would mark progress toward new output.
Supportive ifUEC reports that the first Ludeman wellfield is built and tested. The satellite plant is ready to support production.
Worry ifUEC reports that well construction, plant work, or required approvals have slipped or stopped.
Why it matters: Fiscal 2026 output rose sharply, and costs per pound fell in Q4. The next report will show if that gain lasts.
Watch forThe December 9 report shows production above 82,744 pounds and total cost below $36.54 per pound.
Also watch forThe report shows production below 82,744 pounds or total cost above $36.54 per pound.
Why it matters: Burke Hollow is in its early ramp-up. Higher output would show the new mine is expanding beyond its first operating area.
Supportive ifA quarterly report shows Burke Hollow output above 17,352 pounds, with production spread beyond the first small section.
Worry ifA quarterly report shows output at or below 17,352 pounds, or reports a delay in expanding the wellfield.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$231 on $10,000 · ±2.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $799 loss on $10,000 · 8.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,430 loss on $10,000 · 64.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The estimate will put a cost figure on UEC's planned conversion plant. A delay or large rise could weaken the plan.
Watch forUEC releases the Class IV cost estimate by mid-2027 and gives a clear project cost.
Also watch forUEC delays the estimate past mid-2027 or says it cannot yet give a clear cost.