Unisys Corp. (UIS)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$2.35-0.42%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UIS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -74.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 74.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
UIS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-29
of this Current Report, including Exhibit 99.1 attached hereto, shall not be deemed "filed" for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the "Exchange Act"), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that section, nor shall it be deemed incorporated by reference into any filing under the Securities Act of 1933, as amended, or the Exchange Act, except as shall be expressly set forth by specific reference in such filing.
Why it matters: ClearPath revenue fell 20.4% in Q2. Its timing and renewal pace matter for the full-year goal.
Worry ifQ3 ClearPath revenue is below the pace needed to reach about $425 million for 2026, or management cuts that goal.
Less concerning ifQ3 results keep the $425 million goal in place, and reported ClearPath revenue is on pace to reach it.
Why it matters: Free cash flow was negative $49.0 million in Q2. Another weak quarter would put the full-year goal at risk.
Worry ifFull-year free cash flow is worse than negative $25 million, or Q3 cash flow keeps the company off that pace.
Less concerning ifQ3 cash flow improves enough to keep full-year free cash flow near negative $25 million.
Why it matters: New business TCV rose 57% year over year in Q2. More growth would support the sales pipeline, though signed value may not become revenue right away.
Supportive ifQ3 new business TCV rises year over year from the $192 million reported in Q2.
Worry ifQ3 new business TCV falls year over year from $192 million, or total backlog declines further from $2.82 billion.
Why it matters: DWS margin fell to 10.8% as client losses and higher delivery costs weighed on results. A recovery would ease pressure on service margins.
Watch forQ3 DWS gross profit margin rises above 10.8% and revenue grows year over year.
Also watch forQ3 DWS gross profit margin falls below 10.8%, or revenue turns negative year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$203 on $10,000 · ±2.0% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $507 loss on $10,000 · 5.1% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,481 loss on $10,000 · 54.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.