UNILEVER PLC (UL)
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$64.20-0.06%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer StaplesHousehold & Personal ProductsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UL
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
No current thesis-health read is available for this company.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 23.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | Not available |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the US dollar and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A comparable growth gap is not available.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 19 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
Why it matters: What management thinks about margins shows how well Unilever controls costs in a tough market.
Watch forManagement says that margins are getting better or staying the same.
Also watch forManagement warns that margins may face more pressure or drop.
Why it matters: Margins are important for making money. Changes may show shifts in costs or pricing power.
Watch forMargins improve year over year by more than 1%.
Also watch forMargins decline year over year by more than 1%.
Why it matters: GDP growth affects consumer spending. Strong GDP data could boost demand for Unilever's products.
Supportive ifGDP growth is reported above 2% in the second estimate.
Worry ifGDP growth is reported below 1% in the second estimate.
Why it matters: Trends in unemployment claims show how much money people have to spend. This affects Unilever's sales.
Watch forWeekly claims drop below 200,000 for two consecutive weeks.
Also watch forWeekly claims rise above 300,000 for two consecutive weeks.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $199 loss on $10,000 · 2.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,510 loss on $10,000 · 25.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it shows the consumer staples sector is recovering. This could help investors trust Unilever's future.
Supportive ifUnilever reports year-over-year revenue growth of at least 1% in the next quarter.
Worry ifUnilever is reporting less revenue than last year.
Why it matters: CPI data affects how people think about inflation. High inflation may reduce spending on Unilever's products.
Worry ifCPI shows an increase of more than 0.5% month-over-month.
Less concerning ifCPI shows an increase of less than 0.2% month-over-month.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth may show a recovery in a struggling sector. This could help Unilever.
Supportive ifThe Consumer Staples sector has revenue growth. This comes after a decline.
Worry ifSector revenue growth is still negative. This means the sector is still shrinking.
Why it matters: If revenue growth picks up, it signals a positive change in the market. This could help Unilever's position in a maturing sector.
Supportive ifRevenue growth increases to above 5% year over year.
Worry ifRevenue growth remains below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Retail sales data shows consumer spending trends. This is crucial for Unilever's sales outlook.
Watch forRetail sales increase by more than 0.5% month over month.
Also watch forRetail sales decrease by more than 0.5% month over month.
Why it matters: These inflation numbers can affect how much people spend. They are important for Unilever's costs.
Watch forPPI increases by more than 0.3% month over month.
Also watch forCPI decreases by more than 0.2% month over month.