UL Solutions (ULS)
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$79.73-0.83%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsSpecialty Business ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · ULS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 46.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 10.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 35.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
ULS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-11-03
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 3, 2026, UL Solutions Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the third quarter ended September 30, 2026. The full text of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The information contained or incorporated by reference in this Item 2.02, including the press release furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1, shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of S…
Why it matters: UL Solutions aims for mid-single digit growth. A lower Q3 result would break the pace seen in Q1 and Q2.
Worry ifQ3 organic revenue growth, at constant currency, is below 4%. Or management cuts its full-year outlook for mid-single digit growth.
Less concerning ifQ3 organic revenue growth, at constant currency, is at least 5%. And management keeps its full-year outlook.
Why it matters: The full-year goal is about 27%. Q2 margin reached 26.8%, so Q3 results will test progress toward that goal.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin is below 26.5%. Or management lowers its full-year goal of about 27%.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin is at least 27%, and management keeps its full-year goal.
Why it matters: The plan exits some businesses and cuts costs. Q3 results can show whether those steps help margins or weigh on them.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin falls below 26.5%. The company links the drop to restructuring costs or business exits.
Less concerning ifQ3 adjusted EBITDA margin reaches at least 27%. Organic revenue growth stays at or above 5%.
Why it matters: Management said uncertainty can delay or cancel customer testing plans. A weak report would show that risk is affecting sales.
Worry ifOn November 3, UL Solutions reports Q3 organic revenue growth below 4%. It cites delayed or canceled customer work.
Less concerning ifOn November 3, UL Solutions reports organic revenue growth of at least 5% and keeps its full-year growth outlook.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$88 on $10,000 · ±0.9% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $301 loss on $10,000 · 3.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,896 loss on $10,000 · 39.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.