Urban One Inc (UONE)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$4.73-3.07%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesBroadcastingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UONE
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -81.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -12.2% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 69.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
UONE — CFO transition
Dated 2026-06-16
Chief Financial Officer (CFO) — Peter D. Thompson: The company entered into a new employment agreement with Peter D. Thompson, continuing his role as CFO and providing enhanced compensation.
Why it matters: A shift in sector revenue growth could signal a recovery for Urban One and its peers.
Watch forSector revenue growth reported positive year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Better cash flow shows stronger financial health. It also means better efficiency.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive and exceeds $10 million in Q3.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q3.
Why it matters: A smaller drop in revenue shows Urban One's business might be stabilizing.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue down year over year not worse than -5%.
Worry ifQ3 revenue drop is more than -5%. This shows ongoing weakness.
Why it matters: Reducing debt helps with financial stability. It also cuts interest costs.
Supportive ifUrban One reduces long-term debt by more than $10 million in Q3.
Worry ifLong-term debt remains unchanged or increases in Q3.
Why it matters: If guidance stabilizes, it shows Urban One is improving. It shows better market conditions and operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA guidance for 2026 is set at about $60 million.
Worry ifIf guidance drops below $55 million again, it shows ongoing problems.
Why it matters: A bigger drop in revenue means worse market conditions. It also leads to more problems.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported down year over year worse than 15%.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue declines less than 15% or shows growth.
Why it matters: This drop shows weakness in Urban One's radio business. It affects overall performance.
Worry ifRadio revenue for Q3 declines more than 2.8% year over year.
Less concerning ifRadio revenue for Q3 stabilizes or grows year over year.
Why it matters: Negative cash flow would show ongoing problems in operations.
Worry ifCash flow from operations turns negative for Q3 2026.
Less concerning ifCash flow from operations remains positive for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Going above this amount shows good use of capital and better financial health.
Supportive ifTotal long-term debt reduction exceeds $60 million by year-end 2026.
Worry ifLong-term debt reduction fails to reach $60 million by year-end 2026.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$222 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $988 loss on $10,000 · 9.9% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $7,080 loss on $10,000 · 70.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.