Upexi Inc (UPXI)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-05
$0.66-14.04%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesInternet Content & InformationSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · UPXI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 78.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 40.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 38.8 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 15 industry peers
UPXI — earnings in line
Dated 2026-09-17
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On September 17, 2026, Upexi, Inc. (the “Company”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the fiscal year ended June 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1, is being furnished and shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act o…
Why it matters: Upexi says it aims to grow SOL held per share. New shares can dilute each share's claim on its SOL.
Watch forA quarterly filing shows SOL held per share rising, with no new shares issued through the ATM program.
Also watch forA quarterly filing shows shares outstanding rising while SOL held per share falls.
Why it matters: Upexi reported a $246.1 million loss, mostly from unrealized SOL losses. It also had $5.8 million in cash and large debt balances.
Worry ifThe next report shows another digital asset loss, not yet realized, above $50 million. Or cash is below $5.8 million while debt is higher.
Less concerning ifThe next report shows digital asset losses, not yet realized, below $50 million. Cash is above $5.8 million, and debt is no higher than at year-end.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$424 on $10,000 · ±4.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $1,046 loss on $10,000 · 10.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $8,462 loss on $10,000 · 84.6% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.