Virginia National Bankshares Corp. (VABK)
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-11-04
$53.56+3.74%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQFinancialsBanks - RegionalSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VABK
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of — · Company calendar date is not available
VABK — dividend update
Dated 2026-07-23
Other Events. On July 22, 2026, the Company's Board of Directors declared a cash dividend on the Company's outstanding shares of common stock. The dividend of $0.36 per share will be paid on August 28, 2026 to stockholders of record as of the close of business on August 14, 2026.
Why it matters: VABK paid the same quarterly dividend in each supplied 2026 quarter. A cut would break that pattern.
Worry ifA future quarterly dividend falls below $0.36 per share or is not declared.
Less concerning ifThe next declared quarterly dividend is $0.36 per share or more.
Why it matters: Margin rose to 3.73% in Q3, up from 3.65% in Q2. A continued gain would support the bank’s balance-sheet plan.
Supportive ifQ4 net interest margin, adjusted for taxes, is above 3.6%.
Worry ifQ4 net interest margin, adjusted for taxes, is below 3.4%.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $275 loss on $10,000 · 2.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,280 loss on $10,000 · 12.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.