Visteon (VC)
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$102.64+0.36%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer DiscretionaryAuto - PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -6.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 69.0% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 75.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers
VC — earnings miss
Dated 2026-07-23
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On July 23, 2026 , the registrant issued a press release regarding its financial results for the second quarter of 2026. A copy of the press release is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information contained in Exhibit 99.1 shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or incorporated by reference in any filing under the Se…
Why it matters: Better margins show good cost control and efficiency. This can make investors more confident.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin goes above 11% in Q2 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stays below 10% in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Better EBITDA means Visteon is handling costs well. This is true even with supply chain problems.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA is over $120 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA falls below $100 million in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: New business wins are crucial for Visteon's growth strategy. Strong wins indicate market confidence.
Supportive ifNew business wins reported above $2 billion in Q3.
Worry ifNew business wins reported below $1 billion in Q3.
Why it matters: Completion shows good use of capital and a promise to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe $200 million share repurchase will be done by Q4 2026.
Worry ifThe share repurchase is delayed or canceled. This raises concerns about capital use.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$139 on $10,000 · ±1.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $362 loss on $10,000 · 3.6% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,398 loss on $10,000 · 34.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Sales growth is crucial for Visteon. A decline would indicate weakening demand.
Worry ifQ2 sales grew more than 2% compared to last year.
Less concerning ifQ2 sales grew less than 2% compared to last year.
Why it matters: Changes in credit terms can change how Visteon manages money and runs its business.
Watch forNews of better credit terms or lower interest rates.
Also watch forNews of worse credit terms or higher interest rates.
Why it matters: Negative cash flow could indicate financial stress. It's crucial for future investments.
Worry ifOperating cash flow turns negative in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating cash flow remains positive in Q3.
Why it matters: Better cash flow helps support future investments. It also aids in capital allocation.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow in Q2 exceeds $20 million.
Worry ifOperating cash flow in Q2 is negative or below $10 million.
Why it matters: Better margins show Visteon is controlling costs well. This helps make more money.
Supportive ifEBITDA margin was over 12.5%.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is below 11.5%. This shows cost pressures.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows financial health. It also means the company can invest in growth.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive, exceeding $10 million in Q2 2026.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Margins matter for making money. A drop may show problems in operations.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin falls below 11% in Q3.
Less concerning ifThe adjusted EBITDA margin is over 11% in Q3.
Why it matters: Stabilizing revenue shows Visteon is fixing production problems. It helps management's growth plan.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue was over $960 million. This shows stability and growth.
Worry ifQ3 revenue is under $940 million. This suggests ongoing production issues.
Why it matters: Improving operating income is crucial. A rise would show progress in managing costs.
Supportive ifOperating income increases from $49M in Q1 2026 to above $60M in Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating income stays below $49M in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: If sales grow above 3%, Visteon can beat market challenges.
Supportive ifQ3 sales growth over 3% shows strong demand and good execution.
Worry ifQ3 sales growth under 0% shows market challenges continue.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow shows good financial health. It also shows better efficiency.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations is over $50 million, showing strong performance.
Worry ifCash flow from operations is below $10 million, showing cash flow problems.