Veeco Instruments Inc. (VECO)
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$44.67+4.98%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologySemiconductorsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VECO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 41.9% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 19.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 71 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VECO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-05
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On May 5, 2026, Veeco Instruments Inc. (“Veeco”) issued a press release announcing its financial results for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. In connection with the release and the related conference call, Veeco posted a presentation relating to its first quarter 2026 financial results on its website (www.veeco.com). Copies of the press release and presentation are furnished as Exhibit 99.1 and Exhibit 99.2 to this report.
Why it matters: If revenue growth drops, it may signal a slowdown in the sector. This affects investor sentiment.
Worry ifRevenue growth falls below its median for the sector.
Less concerning ifRevenue growth stays above its median for the sector.
Why it matters: Achieving this guidance is crucial for investor confidence. It shows if Veeco can capitalize on AI and HPC demand.
Supportive ifRevenue for 2026 meets or exceeds $740 million.
Worry ifRevenue falls below $740 million, indicating struggles in growth.
Why it matters: If management maintains the guidance of $740M to $810M, it shows confidence in growth despite challenges.
Watch forManagement says the revenue target for 2026 is still the same.
Also watch forManagement cuts the revenue target for 2026.
Why it matters: The company expects non-GAAP EPS between $0.20 and $0.32 for Q2. Achieving this is key for future growth.
Supportive ifQ2 non-GAAP EPS reported within the range of $0.20 to $0.32.
Worry ifQ2 non-GAAP EPS reported below $0.20.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$331 on $10,000 · ±3.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $602 loss on $10,000 · 6.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,936 loss on $10,000 · 49.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Growth above this level would show strong demand in the semiconductor market.
Supportive ifRevenue growth reported above 20% YoY in Q3.
Worry ifRevenue growth reported below 10% YoY in Q3.
Why it matters: Q1 revenue was $158.3 million, down from $167.3 million last year. This trend could indicate ongoing challenges.
Worry ifQ2 revenue reported lower than $158.3 million.
Less concerning ifQ2 revenue reported higher than $158.3 million.
Why it matters: Meeting or exceeding this revenue target would confirm strong demand driven by AI and HPC.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue reported at or above $200 million.
Worry ifQ3 revenue reported below $200 million.
Why it matters: Finishing this merger would help Veeco grow and improve its market position.
Supportive ifAn official announcement will say the merger is done.
Worry ifFurther delays or failure to complete the merger.
Why it matters: Better EPS shows improved earnings and progress toward 2026 goals.
Supportive ifGAAP EPS reported at or above $0.20 in Q3.
Worry ifGAAP EPS reported below $0.20 in Q3.