VF Corporation (VFC)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-05
$20.32-2.91%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - ManufacturersSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VFC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 23.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 20.9 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VFC — dividend update
Dated 2026-10-28
Regulation FD Disclosure. On October 28, 2026 , the Company announced that its Board of Directors declared a quarterly dividend of $0.09 per share. This dividend will be payable on December 17, 2026, to shareholders of record at the close of business on December 10, 2026.
Why it matters: VF ties its cash flow goal to debt reduction. Q2 results showed debt was down year over year, but cash flow delivery remains ahead.
Supportive ifFY'27 normalized free cash flow is at least $405 million, flat to up from FY'26.
Worry ifFY'27 normalized free cash flow falls below $405 million, or VF cuts its cash flow outlook.
Why it matters: VF reaffirmed this goal after Q2 revenue grew 1% without Dickies. Meeting it would show that growth is broadening.
Supportive ifFY'27 revenue excluding Dickies grows at least 2% in constant currency, as guided.
Worry ifFY'27 revenue excluding Dickies grows less than 2% in constant currency, or VF cuts this guidance.
Why it matters: Vans revenue fell 9.8% in Q2, even as DTC returned to growth. Better wholesale sales would support the planned recovery.
Supportive ifVans wholesale sales improve in the second half. Vans revenue falls by 2% or less, as guided earlier.
Worry ifVans revenue decline stays worse than 2% in the second half, or wholesale sales keep falling.
Why it matters: VF reported net debt down $1.1 billion year over year. Its leverage range tests whether debt keeps falling.
Supportive ifVF reports a FY'27 leverage ratio from 2.6x to 2.9x, or lower.
Worry ifVF reports FY'27 leverage above 2.9x, or raises the top of its guidance range.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$171 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $401 loss on $10,000 · 4.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,144 loss on $10,000 · 41.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.