Valhi, Inc. (VHI)
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$17.83-1.16%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsChemicalsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VHI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance recently climbed back into the top half of its industry — confirming the recovery.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -77.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -3.5% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 73.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Elevated risk of a next-quarter earnings miss: this name is on a run of consecutive earnings misses and has been missing across recent quarters. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 8 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VHI — earnings miss
Dated 2026-08-06
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. The registrant hereby furnishes the information set forth in its press release entitled “Valhi Reports Second Quarter 2026 Results” that the registrant issued on August 6, 2026, a copy of which is attached hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and incorporated herein by reference. The press release the registrant furnishes as Exhibit 99.1 to this current report is not deemed “filed” for purposes of section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amend…
Why it matters: Comments on cash flow management will explain how the company plans to fix cash issues.
Watch forManagement shares a clear plan for improving cash flow in the next earnings call.
Also watch forManagement shares no new details on cash flow plans during the earnings call.
Why it matters: Changes in dividend policy show management's trust in cash flow and profits.
Watch forThey announced an increase in the quarterly dividend above $0.08 per share.
Also watch forThey announced a cut or suspension of the dividend.
Why it matters: Keeping or raising dividends shows good financial health. It shows care for shareholders.
Supportive ifThe board declares a dividend of at least $0.08 per share in the next quarter.
Worry ifThe board suspends or reduces the dividend payment.
Why it matters: If revenue grows, it may show a recovery in the materials sector. This could help Valhi's finances.
Supportive ifRevenue growth for Valhi turns positive year over year in the next quarter.
Worry ifRevenue growth has been negative for two quarters in a row.
Why it matters: Positive cash flow from operations is key. It helps keep dividends and fund growth.
Supportive ifCash from operating activities is positive in Q2 2026. It is over $50 million.
Worry ifCash from operations is still negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Strong sales growth shows that management's plan to increase revenue is working.
Supportive ifTotal net sales growth in Q2 exceeds 4% year over year.
Worry ifTotal net sales growth in Q2 is less than or equal to 4% year over year.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth would signal a turnaround in the declining materials sector. This could boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth reported above 0% year over year.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth remains negative year over year.
Why it matters: Growth in the Chemicals Segment is key for overall revenue improvement. A strong performance can signal ongoing market share gains.
Supportive ifQ3 Chemicals Segment net sales increase year over year by more than 10%.
Worry ifQ3 Chemicals Segment net sales growth is less than 5% year over year.
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows that cost reduction efforts are working. This can boost investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ3 operating income is more than $50 million.
Worry ifQ3 operating income is less than $40 million.
Why it matters: TiO2 prices affect how much money the Chemicals Segment makes. Higher prices can mean better profits.
Supportive ifAverage TiO2 selling prices increase by more than 5% in Q3.
Worry ifAverage TiO2 selling prices decrease by more than 5% in Q3.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is crucial for funding operations and dividends. It reflects financial health.
Watch forCash flow from operations returns to positive in Q3.
Also watch forCash flow from operations remains negative in Q3.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$146 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $440 loss on $10,000 · 4.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,114 loss on $10,000 · 31.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.