Vontier (VNT)
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
$37.58+2.79%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -18.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -0.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 18.4 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers
VNT — President transition
Dated 2026-10-08
Executive Vice President, Chief Transformation and Operations Officer — Kathryn Rowen: The resignation of a senior executive (EVP) to pursue another opportunity is a genuine departure but is typically viewed as neutral in the absence of negative context or a sudden crisis.
Why it matters: Q2 core sales fell 0.2%, while management guided to about 5% growth in Q3. The result tests its growth outlook.
Supportive ifQ3 core sales grow 5% or more year over year, in line with the August 6 guide.
Worry ifQ3 core sales growth is below 5%, or turns negative year over year.
Why it matters: Vontier raised its 2026 profit guide after Q2 results beat its expectations. Q3 EPS will test that stronger outlook.
Supportive ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS is at least $0.82 and no more than $0.86.
Worry ifQ3 adjusted diluted EPS is below $0.82, or Vontier cuts its full-year EPS guide below $3.45.
Why it matters: Repair Solutions sales fell in each of the last three quarters. Management linked recent weakness to lower technician spending.
Supportive ifRepair Solutions core sales turn positive year over year in Q3 or the next reported quarter.
Worry ifRepair Solutions core sales fall at least 1% year over year again. Its operating margin falls below 19.0%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$112 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $253 loss on $10,000 · 2.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,467 loss on $10,000 · 34.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.