Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
$85.41-2.78%
Close 2026-08-31 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VSCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance dropped from the top half to the bottom half of its industry over the past month — the reason to own it has weakened.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 84.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 16.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 67.2 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 17 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VSCO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-06-02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition and
Why it matters: This change marks a new chapter for the company. It reflects a shift in brand identity and strategy.
Watch forThe ticker officially changes to VSXY on June 2, 2026, as planned.
Also watch forThe ticker change does not occur on June 2, 2026.
Why it matters: Share buybacks can show that management trusts the stock. More buybacks may help keep share prices steady.
Supportive ifThey announced more share buybacks beyond the $150 million left.
Worry ifNo new share repurchase announcements or a halt in the program.
Why it matters: This revenue range shows if the company can keep its growth momentum. Meeting this target signals strong demand and execution.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 revenue reported within the range of $1.590 billion to $1.615 billion.
Worry ifQ2 2026 revenue falls below $1.590 billion.
Why it matters: This income range shows if the company can maintain profitability. Meeting this target signals strong cost management.
Supportive ifQ2 2026 operating income was between $90 million and $100 million.
Worry ifQ2 2026 operating income is less than $90 million.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$206 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $529 loss on $10,000 · 5.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,555 loss on $10,000 · 35.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: This guidance shows the company's trust in its growth plan. Hitting this target means they are doing well.
Supportive ifFull year 2026 revenue reported within the range of $7.030 billion to $7.130 billion.
Worry ifFull year 2026 revenue falls below $7.030 billion.