Victoria's Secret (VSCO)
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
$85.41-2.78%
Close 2026-08-31 · 1-day change
NYSEConsumer DiscretionaryApparel - RetailSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VSCO
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 79.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 65.0 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 3 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VSCO — earnings miss
Dated 2026-06-02
Results of Operations and Financial Condition and
Why it matters: Q1 margin gains came from more regular-price sales and fewer promotions. A reversal could weaken profit growth.
Watch forA later quarterly report says gross margin rose from a year earlier. Regular-price sales increased, and promotions fell.
Also watch forA later quarterly report says gross margin fell from a year earlier. Promotions rose or regular-price sales weakened.
Why it matters: Management set Q2 sales guidance at $1.59 billion to $1.615 billion. A miss would break the recent sales growth streak.
Worry ifQ2 2026 net sales come in below $1.59 billion.
Less concerning ifQ2 2026 net sales reach or exceed $1.59 billion.
Why it matters: The sector is in a declining phase, though recent data hints at a change. Retail sales can test whether shoppers are spending more.
Watch forThe November 17 retail sales report shows growth from the prior month.
Also watch forThe November 17 retail sales report shows a decline from the prior month.
Why it matters: The company raised its full-year sales range after Q1 sales rose 15%. Falling short of the new floor would weaken that growth signal.
Worry ifFY 2026 net sales land below $7.03 billion.
Less concerning ifFY 2026 net sales reach or exceed $7.03 billion.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$206 on $10,000 · ±2.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $544 loss on $10,000 · 5.4% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,555 loss on $10,000 · 35.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.