Versant Media Group, Inc. (VSNT)
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
$38.61-5.76%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQCommunication ServicesEntertainmentSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VSNT
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -46.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| 59.4% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 105.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 21 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VSNT — earnings miss
Dated 2026-05-14
Results of Operations and Financial Condition On May 14, 2026, Versant Media Group, Inc (“Versant”) issued a press release reporting its financial results and the results of its operations for the quarter ended March 31, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished as Exhibit 99.1 to this Current Report on Form 8-K and is incorporated herein by reference.
Why it matters: Better net income means stronger financial health after leaving Comcast.
Watch forNet income for Q2 2026 is at least $286 million, showing recovery.
Also watch forNet income for Q2 2026 falls below $250 million, showing ongoing problems.
Why it matters: Acquisitions can make Versant stronger in the market and grow its digital skills.
Supportive ifA new acquisition that boosts digital platform skills is announced by Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo new acquisitions by Q3 2026 means slower growth in digital platforms.
Why it matters: Growth in platform revenue is important for Versant's strategy. Steady growth shows success in digital efforts.
Supportive ifPlatforms revenue grows at least 5% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifPlatforms revenue growth falls below 0% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: If sector revenue growth slows, it may show bigger problems for Versant.
Worry ifSector revenue growth reported below its median rate of 9% year over year.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth remains at or above its median rate of 9% year over year.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$127 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $423 loss on $10,000 · 4.2% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,993 loss on $10,000 · 39.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More audience growth at MS NOW will show if Versant is engaging viewers and growing its brand.
Watch forMS NOW reports year-over-year audience growth of 10% or more in Q3.
Also watch forMS NOW audience growth falls below 5% year-over-year in Q3.
Why it matters: Earnings results will provide insights into Versant's financial health and growth trajectory. This can affect stock performance.
Watch forThe earnings report shows revenue is growing or profits are better.
Also watch forThe earnings report shows revenue is still falling or losses are getting bigger.
Why it matters: The Bundesliga deal could increase viewership and ad revenue. This would affect overall performance.
Supportive ifBundesliga viewership metrics show strong growth in the first few months.
Worry ifBundesliga viewership did not meet expectations. This led to lower ad revenue.
Why it matters: Paying this dividend shows Versant cares about giving money back to shareholders. This can help boost investor trust.
Supportive ifThe company pays the declared dividend on July 22, 2026.
Worry ifThe company stops or cuts the dividend payment set for July 22, 2026.
Why it matters: Positive revenue growth shows a recovery from recent declines. It supports management's growth plan.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 0% compared to Q2 2025.
Worry ifQ2 revenue continues to decline year over year.
Why it matters: Completing the buyback shows smart use of money and trust in the company. This can help share price.
Supportive ifThe $100 million share buyback is done as planned by the end of Q2 2026.
Worry ifThe buyback is delayed or scaled back due to financial constraints.
Why it matters: Adjusted EBITDA shows how well a company operates. It also shows profit trends.
Watch forAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 is over $500 million.
Also watch forAdjusted EBITDA for Q3 2026 falls below $450 million.
Why it matters: Recent quarters showed lower revenue. If revenue stabilizes or grows, it means recovery.
Supportive ifIn Q3, total revenue was over $1.64 billion. This shows stabilization or growth.
Worry ifQ3 total revenue falls below $1.64 billion, continuing the decline.
Why it matters: More buybacks show that management trusts the stock and wants to return money to shareholders.
Supportive ifThey announced another share buyback plan beyond the planned $100 million.
Worry ifNo new share repurchase announcements or a pause in the buyback program.
Why it matters: A steady dividend shows good financial health. It shows a commitment to giving money back to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe Board declares a cash dividend of $0.375 per share for Q3 2026.
Worry ifNo dividend is declared for Q3 2026.
Why it matters: Growth in digital platforms is key for Versant's long-term success. Strong growth signals effective strategy execution.
Supportive ifQ3 digital platforms revenue growth exceeds 5% year over year.
Worry ifQ3 digital platforms revenue growth is below 0% year over year.
Why it matters: The acquisition will improve Versant's sports technology. If it goes well, growth could increase.
Supportive ifFull Swing acquisition closes by the end of 2026.
Worry ifThe acquisition will close later than 2026. This is due to regulatory or financial problems.