Vitesse Energy, Inc. (VTS)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$17.78+2.13%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Exploration & ProductionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VTS
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 2 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $18 the market pays 2.7× p/s — above the 2.0× p/s peer median but in line with its own 2× history. That premium reflects a durable franchise our peer-anchored $16 fair value understates; treat the 'expensive vs peers' read with medium confidence. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Peer P/FCF | 12M | $19.02 | 12.3 | 1.55 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $13.26 | 2.0 | 6.64 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $15.86 | 12.3 | 1.29 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 3Y | $18.97 | 17.9 | 1.06 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Above average on quality vs scored peers
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only a turbulent sector regime (Heating) — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 117% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $0.42/sh owner earnings.
Looks more expensive than peers.
Self-history needs ~20 months of data.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $15.23 | 2.0 | 7.63 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $14.05 | 12.3 | 1.15 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/E | 5Y | $20.80 | 17.9 | 1.17 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 5Y | $16.70 | 2.0 | 8.36 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |