NCR Voyix (VYX)
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$9.86+4.56%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEInformation TechnologyInformation Technology ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VYX
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -13.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -12.8% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VYX — officer change
Dated 2026-06-08
The filing describes a stock incentive plan approval, not a management change.
Why it matters: Q3 results will show whether sales stay on track after the hardware shift. The full-year outlook puts pro forma revenue change at -2% to 3%.
Watch forOn the November 5 call, NCR Voyix keeps full-year revenue guidance and reports results in line with its path to 2026 revenue of $2.188B–$2.303B.
Also watch forNCR Voyix cuts full-year revenue guidance, or reports results that put pro forma 2026 revenue below the -2% to 3% range.
Why it matters: Cash flow progress is a stated company focus, but its status is mixed. Results can be checked against the $190 million low end.
Supportive ifNCR Voyix reports 2026 adjusted free cash flow before restructuring of at least $190 million.
Worry ifNCR Voyix reports adjusted free cash flow before restructuring of less than $190 million in 2026.
Why it matters: Platform contract value rose 65% year over year in Q2. Continued growth would back up the plan to win and deploy more platform customers.
Supportive ifThe next report shows Voyix Commerce Platform remaining contract value above $286 million and higher than the prior year.
Worry ifThe next report shows contract value below $286 million or lower than the prior year.
Why it matters: Recurring revenue rose from $421 million to $435 million year over year. Another increase would support the stated focus on steady revenue.
Supportive ifThe next reported quarter has recurring revenue above $435 million and above the same quarter last year.
Worry ifThe next reported quarter has recurring revenue at or below $435 million, or below the same quarter last year.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$278 on $10,000 · ±2.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $645 loss on $10,000 · 6.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,619 loss on $10,000 · 46.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.