Verizon (VZ)
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$46.12-0.11%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSECommunication ServicesTelecommunications ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · VZ
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -7.5% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 2.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.7 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 10 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
VZ — director transition
Dated 2026-09-29
Director — Charles Phillips: The filing discloses the routine election of a new director to the board, which is a standard governance event and not an executive departure.
Why it matters: Verizon raised its profit target for the third straight quarter. Reaching it would back up the recent earnings gains.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is at least $5.04.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 adjusted EPS is below $5.04.
Why it matters: Verizon sees faster service growth in Q4. Reaching that mark would extend the rise from 1.6% in Q1 to 2.9% in Q3.
Supportive ifQ4 2026 mobility and broadband service revenue grows about 4.0% year over year.
Worry ifQ4 2026 mobility and broadband service revenue growth is below 2.9%, the Q3 rate.
Why it matters: Verizon raised its full-year target to 1.1 million to 1.2 million. A miss would break the recent run of strong customer growth.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 postpaid phone net additions finish below 1.1 million.
Less concerning ifFull-year 2026 postpaid phone net additions reach at least 1.1 million.
Why it matters: Free cash flow rose 14.3% in the first nine months. Meeting the new target would support Verizon's cash and spending plans.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow growth is near 12.0% year over year.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 free cash flow growth is below 9.0%, the prior guidance range's low end.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$107 on $10,000 · ±1.1% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $233 loss on $10,000 · 2.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,905 loss on $10,000 · 19.1% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: The AWS agreement could add a new source of growth. Signed work and reported revenue would show whether the deal is taking shape.
Supportive ifVerizon or AWS names a project, launch, or revenue tied to their AI infrastructure agreement.
Worry ifA later filing or company release says the deal is delayed, reduced, or ended.