WATERBRIDGE INFRASTRUCTURE LLC (WBI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$23.95-8.03%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WBI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 22.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 21.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 0.7 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WBI — earnings in line
Dated 2026-11-04
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On November 4, 2026, WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC (NYSE: WBI; NYSE TX: WBI) (the “Company”) announced its financial results for the quarter ended September 30, 2026. A copy of the press release is furnished hereto as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. The information in this Item 2.02, including Exhibit 99.1 incorporated herein by reference, shall not be deemed to be “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchan…
Why it matters: Q2 volume growth helped drive higher revenue. Results above the guide's low end would support the volume growth plan.
Supportive ifQ3 produced water handling averages at least 2.55 million barrels per day, the low end of the full-year guide.
Worry ifQ3 produced water handling averages are below 2.55 million barrels per day. The full-year guide has not increased.
Why it matters: Management named Speedway Phase I as a key near-term growth driver. Rising use would support its volume and earnings plans.
Supportive ifQ3 results show Speedway Phase I volumes rose from the first volumes brought online in July.
Worry ifQ3 results show no rise in Speedway Phase I volumes. The company reports a delay or operating issue.
Why it matters: WaterBridge raised its full-year EBITDA guide after Q2 growth. Q3 results test whether that pace continues.
Supportive ifOn the November 4 call, WaterBridge keeps its $435M–$475M 2026 EBITDA guide and reports Q3 results that track toward at least $435M for the year.
Worry ifWaterBridge cuts its 2026 EBITDA guide below $435M, or Q3 results leave the company short of that floor.
Why it matters: The deal would add a large waste site in Lea County. A delay or failure would slow the planned expansion.
Supportive ifWaterBridge reports that the NDB Landfill deal closed. All required approvals and consents are in place.
Worry ifWaterBridge reports that the deal failed, or is still not closed after its stated Q3 2026 window.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$155 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $498 loss on $10,000 · 5.0% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,386 loss on $10,000 · 33.9% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.