WATERBRIDGE INFRASTRUCTURE LLC (WBI)
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
$32.21-0.09%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WBI
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 16.2% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 32.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 32 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WBI — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-18
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 18, 2026, WBI Operating LLC (the “Issuer”), a subsidiary of WaterBridge Infrastructure LLC (the “Company”), completed the previously announced private placement (the “Offering”) of an additional $150,000,000 aggregate principal amount of 6.500% Senior Notes due 2033 (the “New Notes”). The Offering was upsized from an initial offering size of $100,000,000 aggregate principal amount of the New Notes. The Company intends to use the net procee…
Why it matters: Closing this deal would grow WaterBridge's waste management reach. This would help growth.
Supportive ifThe NDB Landfill deal closed in Q3 2026.
Worry ifThere may be a delay or cancellation of the NDB Landfill acquisition.
Why it matters: A rebound in sector revenue growth could indicate a shift back to growth. This would be positive for WBI.
Watch forSector revenue growth rises above 2% year over year.
Also watch forSector revenue growth remains below 2% year over year.
Why it matters: Reaching this goal would prove management's growth plan and good operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA reported at or above $475 million for full year 2026.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was below $435 million for the full year 2026.
Why it matters: If energy sector revenue growth improves, it could signal a positive shift for WBI. This would support a better outlook.
Supportive ifEnergy sector revenue growth exceeds 2% in the next quarter.
Worry ifEnergy sector revenue growth stays below 2%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$157 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $454 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,070 loss on $10,000 · 30.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More sales mean strong demand. This shows good operations and helps revenue grow.
Supportive ifVolumes from the Speedway Phase I Pipeline reported to ramp up as expected in Q3.
Worry ifVolumes from the Speedway Phase I Pipeline fail to ramp up as planned.
Why it matters: Exceeding this level shows strong demand and good operations. This supports growth plans.
Supportive ifProduced water handling was over 2.75 million barrels per day in Q3.
Worry ifProduced water handling was below 2.55 million barrels per day in Q3.
Why it matters: Going above this number shows strong finances and good operations.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA was over $475 million for Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA was under $435 million for Q3.
Why it matters: Net income is improving. This shows better financial performance and can help investor confidence.
Supportive ifNet income for Q2 exceeds $3.5M.
Worry ifNet income for Q2 falls below $3.5M.