WESCO International (WCC)
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$351.46+3.87%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEIndustrialsIndustrial - DistributionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WCC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 3.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 4.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 18 industry peers
WCC — CEO transition
Dated 2026-06-02
Executive Vice President and Chief Financial Officer — David S. Schulz: Mr. Schulz retired from his role and entered into a consulting agreement with the company.
Why it matters: WESCO is growing its operating income. This means they are managing costs well. This is key for their long-term success.
Supportive ifOperating income increases year over year by more than 20% in Q2.
Worry ifOperating income growth is less than 20% year over year in Q2.
Why it matters: Growth in net income signals effective cost management and revenue strategies. This can boost investor trust.
Supportive ifNet income rises more than 25% year over year in Q2.
Worry ifNet income growth is less than 25% year over year in Q2.
Why it matters: Backlog growth shows future money-making chances. A slowdown may mean less customer interest.
Worry ifBacklog growth below 50% year over year in Q3.
Less concerning ifBacklog growth remains above 50% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: Strong EPS growth shows good cost control. It also shows revenue growth, which boosts investor confidence.
Supportive ifAdjusted EPS growth exceeds 50% year over year in Q2.
Worry ifAdjusted EPS growth falls below 30% year over year in Q2.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$218 on $10,000 · ±2.2% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $383 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,054 loss on $10,000 · 20.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Data center sales are a key growth driver. A slowdown could signal weakening demand.
Worry ifData center sales growth below 40% year over year in Q3.
Less concerning ifData center sales growth remains above 40% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: A strong EBITDA margin shows good cost management. It means the company is efficient.
Supportive ifAdjusted EBITDA margin is over 7% in Q3.
Worry ifAdjusted EBITDA margin drops below 6.5% in Q3.
Why it matters: The offering will change Wesco's debt and cash flow. Completing it shows good financial management.
Supportive ifA press release confirms the $1.3 billion senior notes offering is complete.
Worry ifThere are delays or failure to complete the offering.
Why it matters: A new CEO can shift company priorities and impact growth strategies.
Watch forThe new CEO shares a plan that focuses on digital change.
Also watch forThe new CEO keeps the current strategy with no big changes.
Why it matters: Stable cash flow is vital for funding operations and investments. It shows the company's financial health.
Supportive ifOperating cash flow exceeds $50 million in Q3.
Worry ifOperating cash flow falls below $30 million in Q3.
Why it matters: The EBITDA margin shows profitability. A decline may signal cost issues or pricing pressure.
Worry ifEBITDA margin is now below 7.0%.
Less concerning ifAdjusted EBITDA margin stays at or above 7.5%.
Why it matters: New leaders can change how a company operates. Keeping an eye on this shows future results.
Watch forNew CEO outlines a clear growth strategy and maintains revenue targets.
Also watch forNew CEO fails to provide a coherent strategy or lowers revenue targets.
Why it matters: Operating margin is key for making money. A drop could mean higher costs or problems.
Worry ifOperating margin below 5.5% in Q3.
Less concerning ifOperating margin stays above 5.5% in Q3.
Why it matters: Improved revenue growth would show WESCO is making progress on its growth goals. This is key for investor confidence.
Supportive ifQ2 revenue growth exceeds 14% year over year, improving from Q1's 13.8%.
Worry ifQ2 revenue growth stays below 14% year over year.
Why it matters: Free cash flow is vital for funding operations and growth. A drop could raise liquidity concerns.
Worry ifFree cash flow below $30 million in Q3.
Less concerning ifFree cash flow remains above $30 million in Q3.