Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (WD)
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - MortgagesSnapshot 2026-11-04
$38.34+9.01%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEFinancialsFinancial - MortgagesSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -39.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 46.6 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has erratic recent earnings surprises and operates in a high-miss-rate industry. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 2 industry peers
WD — credit agreement
Dated 2026-10-30
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On October 26, 2026, Walker & Dunlop, Inc. (the “ Company ”) entered into Amendment No. 1 (the “ Amendment ”) to that certain Amended and Restated Credit Agreement, dated as of March 14, 2025 (the “ Existing Credit Agreement ” and, as amended by the Amendment, the “ Credit Agreement ”), among the Company, as borrower, the lenders party thereto (the “ Lenders ”), JPMorgan Chase Bank, N.A., as administrative agent, and the other parties thereto. The A…
Why it matters: Debt financing volume rose 44% year to date, while Q2 total deal volume rose just 3%. A higher figure would show broader growth.
Supportive ifThe next report shows quarterly debt financing volume above $14.4 billion. That was Q2's total transaction volume.
Worry ifThe next report shows debt financing volume at or below $14.4 billion.
Why it matters: Old loan losses cut Q2 results. A smaller loan balance and lower costs would show that W&D is reducing this drag.
Supportive ifThe next report shows repurchased loans below $153.8 million. Loan-related costs are below Q2's $23.2 million.
Worry ifThe loan balance rises above $153.8 million, or loan-related costs stay at or above $23.2 million.
Why it matters: The portfolio brings steady fees and future loan work. It slipped from $146.4 billion in Q1 to $145.8 billion in Q2.
Supportive ifThe next report shows the servicing portfolio above $145.8 billion and higher than the same quarter a year earlier.
Worry ifThe portfolio falls below $145.8 billion or posts no year-over-year growth.
Why it matters: W&D says GSE lending capacity is strong for the rest of 2026. More share could lift loan volume and grow future servicing fees.
Supportive ifThe next report shows GSE market share at or above 14.7%, near management's stated 15% level.
Worry ifThe next report shows GSE market share below 14.7%, after its year-to-date gain.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$184 on $10,000 · ±1.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $384 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,949 loss on $10,000 · 59.5% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: W&D amended its credit agreement on October 26. The filing terms can show how much debt and borrowing room changed.
Watch forThe amendment shows more borrowing room or no added debt cost versus the prior agreement.
Also watch forThe amendment shows less borrowing room, higher debt costs, or tighter loan terms.