Werner Enterprises (WERN)
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-09-04
$40.04+4.00%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsTruckingSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WERN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -1.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 14.6% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 15.9 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
WERN — litigation filed
Dated 2026-08-24
and the press release exhibit to this Form 8-K shall not be deemed “filed” for purposes of Section 18 of the Securities Exchange Act of 1934, as amended (the “Exchange Act”), or otherwise subject to the liabilities of that Section 18, nor shall such information and exhibit be deemed incorporated by reference in any filing under the Exchange Act or the Securities Act of 1933, as amended (the “Securities Act”), unless the registrant expressly states that such information and exhibit are to be c…
Why it matters: Higher operating income shows good cost control. It also shows better efficiency.
Supportive ifOperating income goes above $20 million in Q3.
Worry ifOperating income stays below $15 million in Q3.
Why it matters: Revenue growth shows strong demand. It also shows good management strategies.
Supportive ifTruckload Transportation Services revenue grew more than 30% year over year in Q3.
Worry ifTruckload Transportation Services revenue growth falls below 20% year over year in Q3.
Why it matters: The lawsuit's outcome can affect the company's money and image. Investors want to know the costs.
Worry ifThe company announces a settlement or a good ruling in the lawsuit.
Less concerning ifThe company reports a bad ruling or higher legal costs from the lawsuit.
Why it matters: A smaller net loss shows progress toward making money and working better.
Supportive ifNet loss narrows to less than $4 million in Q2.
Worry ifNet loss is over $4 million. This shows ongoing problems.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$160 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $429 loss on $10,000 · 4.3% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,828 loss on $10,000 · 28.3% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Revenue per truck in One-Way Truckload shows how well restructuring is working.
Supportive ifOne-Way Truckload average revenue per truck increases by more than 20% year over year.
Worry ifOne-Way Truckload average revenue per truck increases by less than 10% year over year.
Why it matters: Keeping CAPEX guidance shows a commitment to growth and investment.
Supportive ifCAPEX remains within the $185M to $225M range for 2026.
Worry ifCAPEX guidance is revised down below $185 million.
Why it matters: Positive net income means the company is doing well financially.
Supportive ifNet income reported as positive in Q2 2026.
Worry ifNet income remains negative in Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Better margins mean better cost control and efficiency.
Supportive ifQ3 operating margin is now above 3.0%.
Worry ifQ3 operating margin stays below 1.8%.
Why it matters: The outcomes of these lawsuits can affect Werner's finances and focus.
Worry ifGood results in the lawsuits filed on August 24 and August 5.
Less concerning ifBad results or higher legal costs from the recent lawsuits.