Westrock Coffee Co. (WEST)
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-05
$10.37+0.10%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQConsumer StaplesPackaged FoodsSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WEST
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 14.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 1.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
No outside relationship met the current evidence threshold.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 12.5 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and has erratic recent earnings surprises. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 15 industry peers
WEST — M&A activity — Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement
Dated 2026-10-21
Termination of a Material Definitive Agreement. Prior Credit Agreement Concurrently with entering into the Credit Agreement, the Borrower repaid all outstanding obligations and terminated all commitments, including the revolving credit facility and the term loan facility, under the Prior Credit Agreement and terminated the Prior Credit Agreement. Repurchase Transactions Effective on October 21, 2026, upon the Company’s entry into the Credit Agreement, the Company also repurchased and cancelle…
Why it matters: This segment's sales and profit fell in Q2 while Beverage Solutions grew. A recovery would show broader growth.
Supportive ifSustainable Sourcing & Traceability sales rise year over year from Q2's $61.8M. Segment adjusted EBITDA tops $2.0M.
Worry ifSales stay below $61.8M or segment adjusted EBITDA falls below $2.0M in a later quarter.
Why it matters: The Conway lines are fully commercialized. New customer sales and cash gains would show the build-out is paying off.
Supportive ifQuarterly results show Beverage Solutions sales rose and free cash flow was positive. Management links the gains to Conway.
Worry ifBeverage Solutions sales fall year over year, or free cash flow turns negative.
Why it matters: Westrock kept this 2026 target after Q2. Q3 results on November 5 will show progress toward it.
Watch forQ3 adjusted EBITDA and updated full-year guidance keep the company on pace for $90M–$100M in 2026.
Also watch forThe company cuts its 2026 adjusted EBITDA outlook below $90M, or Q3 results make that range hard to reach.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$128 on $10,000 · ±1.3% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $546 loss on $10,000 · 5.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $2,816 loss on $10,000 · 28.2% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.