Weatherford International (WFRD)
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
$82.32-4.32%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NASDAQEnergyOil & Gas Equipment & ServicesSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WFRD
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -0.8% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 6.7% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 7.5 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 24 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WFRD — restructuring
Dated 2026-10-27
In connection with the completion of the Redomestication, the Company initiated certain related restructuring activities at a subsidiary level. These activities are being evaluated for their accounting and tax implications, but we expect to recognize deferred tax assets which will result in a positive non-cash change to the Income Tax Provision reflected on the Company’s financial statements for the fourth quarter of 2026 currently estimated between $250 million and $300 million. Forward-Look…
Why it matters: Closing would clear the next step toward $20 million to $30 million in yearly cash savings from 2027. The savings are not yet reported.
Supportive ifWeatherford confirms the Delaware move closed by November 13, 2026. Its trading ticker did not change.
Worry ifThe company reports that closing conditions were not met, or the Delaware move did not close by November 13.
Why it matters: Weatherford raised its full-year cash flow guidance again. Higher cash flow would support its focus on cash generation.
Supportive ifThe company reports full-year adjusted free cash flow at or above its latest raised guidance.
Worry ifFull-year adjusted free cash flow falls below the latest guidance. Or, the company reports a cut before year-end.
Why it matters: Management said it saw a meaningful Q4 ramp, even with Middle East activity limits. Results can test that view.
Supportive ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA is above Q3's $254 million, and its margin is above 22.2%.
Worry ifQ4 adjusted EBITDA is $254 million or less, or its margin is 22.2% or less.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$175 on $10,000 · ±1.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $380 loss on $10,000 · 3.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $3,269 loss on $10,000 · 32.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.