Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
$85.78-1.48%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WLDN
Price, fair value, and the multiples that frame it on the same time axis. Scroll over the price chart to zoom.
Daily closes. Earnings/event dots inline.
A consensus fair price across 10 valuation methods, at three horizons. As of 2026-09-04. Estimates are diagnostics, not price targets. Short-horizon estimates are close to coin-flips, so confidence is a method-agreement read, not a prediction.
Today's peer multiple on trailing earnings, with no growth credited. This is the headline read.
Adds projected growth, so it leans optimistic by design. Read it as upside context, not a base case.
We take the 12-month fair value above and grade our own number — how the market prices this name versus what we'd justify, and where the two diverge.
At $86 WLDN trades at 16× p/e, below its 41× p/e peer median. Our $100 fair value sits above the price. We hold it with medium confidence: the peer anchor overstates how cheap it looks. Not investment advice.
One valuation read at a 12-month horizon, plus how price compares to peers and the company's own history.
Score 100 = cheapest in the cohort, 0 = richest. Bars are filled left-to-right based on the peer-relative score (or PEG/self-history where shown).
Each method's implied share price per horizon. Provisional rows use a projected (historical-CAGR) growth input rather than analyst or management guidance.
| Method | Horizon | Est. price | Multiple | Per-share input | EPS source | Confidence |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| dcf fcfe | 12M | $170.80 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| dcf fcff | 12M | $167.24 | — | — | Hist. CAGR | high |
| graham number | 12M | $52.30 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Peer EV/EBITDA | 12M | $68.87 | 14.5 | 4.90 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 12M |
A “consensus-then vs. actual-now” overlay is on the way — what our valuation estimate said on a past date versus where the price actually landed.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
A long-thesis check that carries the widest uncertainty of the three horizons.
Below average on quality vs scored peers
A second lens on the 12-month fair value: for companies that score high on measured quality (profitability, balance-sheet safety, earnings stability), this read trusts more of today's profit margins instead of averaging them toward their multi-year history the way the headline number does. Shown alongside the fair value above, not in place of it. A diagnostic, not a price target or a buy/sell signal.
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
Only weak execution quality — not the full expensive x weak x turbulent stack. Regime (Mania) does not concentrate fragility.
For similar setups historically (n=20,154): about 33% saw a 20%+ drawdown, and roughly 76% of those did not recover within the year. These are historical base rates for the cohort, not a forecast of this stock.
At today's price you pay about 120% over what the business is worth with no growth; closing that gap needs roughly — years of the forecast growth to come through. These describe the expectations embedded in the price, not a forecast of the move. Reverse-DCF base: $2.44/sh owner earnings.
Looks cheaper than most peers in the same business.
Around its own typical valuation.
Trailing four: 2025-Q2, 2025-Q3, 2026-Q1, 2026-Q2
Direction of the business behind the multiple. Bands are backend reads; trailing-12-month basis.
| $106.23 |
| 26.3 |
| 4.04 |
| TTM |
| high |
| Peer P/E | 12M | $221.84 | 41.5 | 5.35 | TTM | high |
| Peer P/S | 12M | $57.32 | 1.2 | 48.09 | TTM | high |
| residual income | 12M | $35.20 | — | — | TTM | high |
| Own P/E history | 12M | $84.81 | 15.9 | 5.35 | TTM | high |
| triangulated | 12M | $242.16 | 41.5 | 5.84 | Triangulated | high |
| Peer P/FCF | 3Y | $161.57 | 26.3 | 6.15 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |
| Peer P/S | 3Y | $10.23 | 1.2 | 8.58 | guidance | medium |
| Peer P/FCF | 5Y | $213.68 | 26.3 | 8.13 | Hist. CAGR(prov.) | medium |