Willdan Group, Inc. (WLDN)
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
$74.20-0.59%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQIndustrialsEngineering & ConstructionSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WLDN
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | -16.9% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | -26.3% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 9.4 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 13 industry peers
WLDN — capital allocation
Dated 2026-11-05
Creation of a Direct Financial Obligation or an Obligation under an Off-Balance Sheet Arrangement of a Registrant On October 30, 2026, the Company entered into an Increase Request and Second Amendment to Amended and Restated Credit Agreement (the “Amendment”) among the Company, certain subsidiaries of the Company party thereto, the Lenders (as defined below) party thereto, and BMO Harris Bank, N.A., as administrative agent (in such capacity, the “Agent”), which amends the Company’s existing A…
Why it matters: Management linked growth to strong demand for energy solutions. The next report can show if that demand remains in results.
Supportive ifOn Nov. 5, Willdan reports positive organic net revenue growth and says demand for energy solutions remains strong.
Worry ifOn Nov. 5, Willdan reports flat or lower organic net revenue and says demand has weakened.
Why it matters: Q2 net revenue rose 23.5%, and adjusted EBITDA rose 50.6%. Slower growth could put the raised targets at risk.
Worry ifQ3 net revenue growth falls below 15% year over year or adjusted EBITDA growth falls below 26%.
Less concerning ifQ3 net revenue grows at least 20% and adjusted EBITDA growth stays at or above 26%.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$149 on $10,000 · ±1.5% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $466 loss on $10,000 · 4.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $5,041 loss on $10,000 · 50.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.