W. P. Carey (WPC)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-05
$65.29-0.11%
Close 2026-11-05 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-11-05
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WPC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is holding in the top half of its industry — the reason to own it looks intact.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 5.7% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 7.5% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-05.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 1.8 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-11-05 · Compared with 12 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WPC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-07-02
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 2, 2026, W. P. Carey Inc. (the “ Company ”) consummated the public offering (the “ Offering ”) of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 5.200% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “ Senior Notes ”). The Offering settled on July 2, 2026 and was made pursuant to (i) the Company’s automatic shelf registration statement on Form S-3ASR (File No. 333-286885), filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 1, 2025; and (ii) a final prospectus…
Why it matters: New leases can replace rent lost from Hellweg stores. WPC has signed leases for nine stores, with rent due to start from late 2026 to mid-2027.
Supportive ifNew rent starts on the nine signed Hellweg store leases, totaling about $9.8 million in current annual base rent.
Worry ifRent from the signed Hellweg store leases does not start by mid-2027, or signed leases are canceled.
Why it matters: Third-quarter AFFO per share rose 6.4% from a year earlier. Meeting the raised range would confirm that growth continued through year-end.
Supportive ifFull-year 2026 AFFO per diluted share is at least $5.23.
Worry ifFull-year 2026 AFFO per diluted share is below $5.23.
Why it matters: These projects are set for completion in 2027. On-time delivery can add properties that bring in rent.
Supportive ifWPC reports that the seven projects, worth $204.8 million, finish on schedule and start earning rent in 2027.
Worry ifWPC reports that one or more of the seven projects is canceled or delayed beyond 2027.
Why it matters: Rent increases add to lease income across WPC's properties. A rate at or above 2.6% would keep pace with its latest reported level.
Supportive ifThe next reported same-store rent growth is at least 2.6% year over year, on a constant currency basis.
Worry ifThe next reported same-store rent growth is below 2.6% year over year, on a constant currency basis.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$81 on $10,000 · ±0.8% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $170 loss on $10,000 · 1.7% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $1,843 loss on $10,000 · 18.4% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.