W. P. Carey (WPC)
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
$70.38+0.16%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NYSEReal EstateReit - DiversifiedSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WPC
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance is still in the top half of its industry but slipped notably this past month — worth watching.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 2.0% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 8.1% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Usually moved in the opposite direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to real (inflation-adjusted) rates and long-term interest rates.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 6.0 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 14 industry peers
WPC — debt issuance
Dated 2026-07-02
Entry into a Material Definitive Agreement. On July 2, 2026, W. P. Carey Inc. (the “ Company ”) consummated the public offering (the “ Offering ”) of $350 million aggregate principal amount of 5.200% Senior Notes due 2036 (the “ Senior Notes ”). The Offering settled on July 2, 2026 and was made pursuant to (i) the Company’s automatic shelf registration statement on Form S-3ASR (File No. 333-286885), filed with the Securities and Exchange Commission on May 1, 2025; and (ii) a final prospectus…
Why it matters: A higher dividend shows strong cash flow. It shows a commitment to giving value to shareholders.
Supportive ifThe quarterly dividend is over $0.940 per share. This shows strong cash generation.
Worry ifThe dividend stays at $0.940 per share or goes down. This may show cash flow problems.
Why it matters: A higher dividend growth rate would reflect strong cash flow and commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifDividend growth exceeds 4.4% compared to the previous year.
Worry ifDividend growth is less than 4.4%, indicating potential cash flow issues.
Why it matters: Court cases could affect money made and how investors feel.
Worry ifCourt cases end well and do not disrupt operations.
Less concerning ifCourt cases cause big problems for operations or finances.
Why it matters: The earnings report will provide insights into financial health and performance. This can influence investor sentiment.
Watch forEarnings results show strong revenue and cash flow growth.
Also watch forEarnings results show weak revenue and cash flow performance.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$72 on $10,000 · ±0.7% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $153 loss on $10,000 · 1.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $971 loss on $10,000 · 9.7% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: More cash flow means better efficiency and stronger finances.
Supportive ifCash from operations grows steadily past $404 million.
Worry ifCash from operations falls below $273 million.
Why it matters: If revenue growth in the real estate sector picks up, it could signal a recovery. This would benefit W. P. Carey.
Watch forSector revenue growth speeds up and moves closer to past highs.
Also watch forSector revenue growth keeps slowing down.
Why it matters: The lawsuit's result could change the company's money and how it works.
Watch forThe lawsuit outcome is good, with no major financial effects.
Also watch forThe lawsuit outcome is negative. It may lead to fines or changes in operations.
Why it matters: Increasing the cash dividend shows strong cash flow. It also shows commitment to shareholders.
Supportive ifManagement announces a rise in the quarterly cash dividend from $0.930 per share.
Worry ifManagement maintains the dividend at $0.930 per share without an increase.
Why it matters: If this number is met or exceeded, it shows management is positive about AFFO growth.
Supportive ifQ3 AFFO per diluted share reported at or above $1.34.
Worry ifQ3 AFFO per diluted share reported below $1.34.
Why it matters: Reaching this target shows good use of money and growth potential.
Supportive ifReported investment volume of $1.5 billion or more by year-end.
Worry ifInvestment volume is below $1.5 billion by year-end.
Why it matters: Litigation can affect financial stability and investor trust. The outcome is key for future.
Worry ifLitigation results in a favorable outcome for W. P. Carey.
Less concerning ifLitigation leads to a bad outcome for W. P. Carey's operations.
Why it matters: More investment volume shows strong growth and expansion in the property portfolio.
Supportive ifInvestment volume is over $600 million for Q2.
Worry ifInvestment volume is under $500 million for Q2.
Why it matters: If this volume is exceeded, it shows strong capital use and a good investment pipeline.
Supportive ifInvestment volume reported at over $1.5 billion for Q3.
Worry ifInvestment volume was below $1.5 billion for Q3.
Why it matters: Higher rent growth would signal strong portfolio performance and support revenue growth.
Supportive ifSame-store rent growth reported above 2.6% for Q3.
Worry ifSame-store rent growth reported below 2.6% for Q3.