Wrap Technologies Inc (WRAP)
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
$1.67-0.60%
Close 2026-09-04 · 1-day change
NASDAQInformation TechnologyHardware, Equipment & PartsSnapshot 2026-09-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WRAP
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits well below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 24.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-09-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
| -77.0% |
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 101.3 percentage points more one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and is a smaller-cap name (higher miss base rate). A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-09-04 · Compared with 41 industry peers · Company calendar date is not available
WRAP — debt issuance
Dated 2026-08-18
Entry Into a Material Definitive Agreement. On August 16, 2026, Wrap Technologies, Inc. (the “Company”) entered into a securities purchase agreement (the “Purchase Agreement”) with a certain institutional investor and an existing investor (the “Investors”), pursuant to which the Company agreed to issue and sell in a registered direct offering (the “Offering”) 5,771,519 shares (the “Shares”) of the Company’s common stock, par value $0.0001 per share, and Pre-Funded Warrants (the “Pre-Funded Wa…
Why it matters: Wrap wants to make more money. Right now, they are losing money.
Supportive ifQ2 operating income turns positive or improves by more than 20%.
Worry ifQ2 operating income gets worse or stays in the negative.
Why it matters: This shows that the technology sector is slowing down. This will impact Wrap.
Worry ifSector revenue growth drops below its median, signaling broader issues.
Less concerning ifSector revenue growth is still higher than average. This shows stability.
Why it matters: Wrap is making progress in research and development. This shows they want to improve products and compete.
Watch forWrap announces successful testing results or new features for WrapShield within the next six months.
Also watch forWrap does not report any major R&D progress or testing results for WrapShield.
Why it matters: A lower cash burn rate shows better efficiency. It also means better financial health.
Supportive ifCash used in operating activities goes down to less than $(1.0) million in the next quarter.
Worry ifCash used in operating activities goes up to more than $(1.5) million in the next quarter.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$341 on $10,000 · ±3.4% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $879 loss on $10,000 · 8.8% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $6,581 loss on $10,000 · 65.8% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.
Why it matters: Success in international markets is important for Wrap's growth and shows their global plans.
Supportive ifWrap has announced two new international contracts. These are for drone and counter-UAS systems.
Worry ifNo new international contracts are announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Winning in international markets could show the company's growth plan works and bring in more money.
Supportive ifInternational sales of drone and counter-UAS tech are rising a lot.
Worry ifInternational sales of drone and counter-UAS tech drop or stay the same.
Why it matters: Wrap aims to enhance cash flow, which is currently negative but shows some progress.
Supportive ifCash flow from operations turns positive in Q2.
Worry ifCash flow from operations remains negative in Q2.
Why it matters: Early use would show that the platform works well. It would also show market potential.
Supportive ifA U.S. government agency has a contract for WrapShield technology.
Worry ifNo new contracts or pilot programs for WrapShield are announced in the next quarter.
Why it matters: Less loss shows better financial health and how well the company runs.
Supportive ifOperating loss is lower than $(2.3) million from Q2 2026.
Worry ifOperating loss is higher than $(2.3) million from Q2 2026.
Why it matters: Successful deployment would prove the investment was smart and help the company grow.
Supportive ifInitial contracts or sales for the WrapShield platform have been announced.
Worry ifNo new contracts or sales related to WrapShield announced within the next quarter.
Why it matters: Earnings results will show if Wrap is on track to meet its growth goals.
Watch forThe Q2 earnings report shows revenue growth and better operating income.
Also watch forThe Q2 earnings report shows a drop in revenue. It also shows negative operating income.
Why it matters: The DHS contract could validate Wrap's technology and drive future sales.
Supportive ifDetails on revenue or orders stemming from the DHS contract.
Worry ifNo updates or revenue from the DHS contract reported.
Why it matters: Hitting this growth target shows the company is strong and doing well.
Supportive ifQ3 revenue growth meets or exceeds 100% year-over-year.
Worry ifQ3 revenue growth falls below 50% year-over-year.
Why it matters: This classification opens new markets. It can greatly boost sales in private security.
Supportive ifSales of BolaWrap products rise a lot in the private security sector.
Worry ifSales of BolaWrap products do not grow or drop in the private security sector.