Worthington Steel (WS)
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-11-04
$40.48+0.62%
Close 2026-11-04 · 1-day change
NYSEMaterialsSteelSnapshot 2026-11-04
QuarterlyIQ Insights · WS
What must go right, what could break, what the price assumes, and what evidence comes next.
The current health of the standing investment case.
Recent financial performance sits below its industry cohort — worth keeping an eye on, though it has not freshly broken.
One-year growth currently built into the price, compared with our model's estimate.
| Measure | Marker shape | Value |
|---|---|---|
| Growth built into the price | circle | 32.3% |
| Our one-year growth estimate | diamond | 57.4% |
For each item: what to watch, what would become a concern, and what would make it less concerning.
A reporting-risk estimate, not a forecast of the stock-price response.
Historical relationships that met the evidence threshold. They do not prove cause or forecast a move.
Usually moved in the same direction.
Price observations: 365 days
Most sensitive to the broad stock market.
Based on historical daily prices through 2026-11-04.
Past price behavior in dollars on a $10,000 position. This does not measure permanent business risk.
How much price usually moves either way.
Use the underlying financial and sector pages to investigate the cause.
Not investment advice. Scores describe historical and current data; they are not forecasts of future returns. Consult a licensed advisor before making investment decisions.
Growth built into the price is above our model estimate.
The price assumes 25.1 percentage points less one-year growth.
The one-year revenue growth assumption on Valuation.
Worth watching into the next print: this name has been missing across recent quarters and missed its most recent quarter. A fundamental tilt, not a price call.
Model as of 2026-11-04 · Compared with 9 industry peers
WS — earnings miss
Dated 2026-10-07
Results of Operations and Financial Condition. On October 6, 2026, Worthington Steel, Inc. (“we,” “us,” “our,” the “Company,” and “registrant”) issued a news release (the “Financial Release”) reporting results for the three months ended August 31, 2026 (the first quarter of fiscal 2027). A copy of the Financial Release is furnished herewith as Exhibit 99.1 and is incorporated herein by reference. We will host a conference call at 8:30 a.m. ET on October 7, 2026, to discuss our unaudited finan…
Why it matters: The sector note says materials revenue is shrinking, near -1% over three years. Positive growth would signal a change in that trend.
Supportive ifThe sector data shows three-year revenue growth above 0%.
Worry ifThe sector data shows three-year revenue growth at or below -1%.
Why it matters: The company has named $150 million in yearly savings from the Kloeckner deal. It has not yet shared a realized amount.
Supportive ifA later results release gives the yearly savings amount and progress toward the $150 million goal.
Worry ifA later results release reports no savings, or says the $150 million goal has been cut or delayed.
Why it matters: Adjusted earnings per share fell from $0.77 a year ago to $0.57. The next report tests whether earnings improve after the deal.
Supportive ifThe December 16, 2026 earnings release shows adjusted earnings per share above $0.57.
Worry ifThe December 16, 2026 earnings release shows adjusted earnings per share below $0.57.
Why it matters: Management has kept the quarterly dividend at $0.16. A cut would break that record after the Kloeckner deal added debt.
Worry ifThe board declares a quarterly dividend below $0.16 per share, or skips a payment.
Less concerning ifThe board declares and pays $0.16 per share at the next dividend dates.
We watch for confirming and disproving signals on each item. Resolutions are found automatically where possible and checked by hand for unclear cases. Last 90 days shown.
A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days.
Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year.
| Measure | Value | Meaning |
|---|---|---|
| Typical day | ±$158 on $10,000 · ±1.6% | How much price usually moves either way. |
| Bad day | $446 loss on $10,000 · 4.5% | A larger daily loss that occurred about once in every 20 trading days. |
| Largest peak-to-trough drop in the past year | $4,200 loss on $10,000 · 42.0% | Deepest peak-to-trough drop in the last year. |
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement; 1.20 means about 20% more.
Past year. 1.00 means similar movement to the sector. This is secondary context.
Latest 30 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
Latest 252 trading days, shown as an annual percentage.
20-trading-day average in US dollars.
Trading days used by the source risk snapshot.
Past results, not a forecast. Not investment advice.